TownEnders.com - Swindon Town FC - ELO Club History: Arsenal

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ELO Club History

This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Arsenal

ELO Score History

A historical overview of Arsenal's ELO scores.

Best Teams in History

A list of the top 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.

Year Date Recorded ELO Score
2024 Saturday October 5th, 2024 4,365.55
2004 Saturday October 16th, 2004 4,318.23
2003 Saturday November 22nd, 2003 4,297.64
2023 Sunday October 8th, 2023 4,297.48
2002 Sunday October 6th, 2002 4,295.58
2005 Wednesday May 11th, 2005 4,292.51
2015 Monday May 4th, 2015 4,277.40
2022 Saturday December 31st, 2022 4,273.24
2008 Sunday January 6th, 2008 4,269.42
2007 Saturday December 29th, 2007 4,263.46
2017 Wednesday November 29th, 2017 4,247.19
2016 Sunday November 27th, 2016 4,246.87
2014 Friday January 24th, 2014 4,245.28
2009 Saturday November 7th, 2009 4,241.62
2013 Wednesday December 4th, 2013 4,233.45

Worst Teams in History

A list of the worst 15 Arsenal sides in history, based on their ELO score.

Year Date Recorded ELO Score
1894 Saturday September 15th, 1894 3,686.68
1897 Thursday April 8th, 1897 3,737.09
1896 Saturday February 1st, 1896 3,741.68
1895 Monday January 7th, 1895 3,744.37
1900 Saturday September 22nd, 1900 3,771.40
1901 Saturday March 16th, 1901 3,776.18
1899 Saturday November 11th, 1899 3,779.44
1898 Saturday January 1st, 1898 3,780.91
1913 Saturday February 1st, 1913 3,789.74
1902 Saturday January 25th, 1902 3,797.50
1915 Friday April 2nd, 1915 3,806.99
1919 Saturday August 30th, 1919 3,812.17

Significant Victories

A list of the twenty most significant victories in Arsenal history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

Match Win % Score ELO +/-
Arsenal (3,883) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4,136)
Monday April 5th, 1920
31.75% 1-0 +13.6
Wolverhampton Wanderers (4,197) vs. Arsenal (3,948)
Tuesday April 8th, 1958
11.49% 1-2 +17.7
Woolwich Arsenal (3,917) vs. Manchester City (4,155)
Saturday December 2nd, 1905
34.80% 2-0 +19.6
Manchester City (4,027) vs. Woolwich Arsenal (3,799)
Saturday March 8th, 1913
11.83% 0-1 +17.6
The Wednesday (4,155) vs. Woolwich Arsenal (3,928)
Saturday October 29th, 1904
11.12% 0-3 +31.1
Arsenal (3,917) vs. Liverpool (4,136)
Tuesday February 24th, 1976
33.94% 1-0 +13.2
Woolwich Arsenal (3,945) vs. Everton (4,160)
Saturday April 22nd, 1905
38.48% 2-1 +12.3
Liverpool (4,154) vs. Arsenal (3,946)
Saturday November 9th, 1974
14.52% 1-3 +25.6
Arsenal (3,853) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4,056)
Tuesday April 14th, 1925
38.16% 2-0 +18.6
Woolwich Arsenal (3,951) vs. Manchester United (4,154)
Saturday March 21st, 1908
39.11% 1-0 +12.2
Liverpool (4,013) vs. The Arsenal (3,812)
Monday September 1st, 1919
13.65% 2-3 +17.3
Woolwich Arsenal (3,742) vs. Notts County (3,941)
Saturday November 3rd, 1894
40.51% 2-1 +11.9
Arsenal (3,905) vs. Liverpool (4,104)
Wednesday March 22nd, 1922
38.09% 1-0 +12.4
The Arsenal (3,842) vs. Sunderland (4,039)
Saturday September 20th, 1919
39.13% 3-2 +12.2
Woolwich Arsenal (3,926) vs. Newcastle United (4,122)
Monday December 25th, 1905
40.49% 4-3 +11.9
Woolwich Arsenal (3,936) vs. Aston Villa (4,127)
Monday April 11th, 1910
40.49% 1-0 +11.9
Woolwich Arsenal (3,787) vs. Blackburn Rovers (3,977)
Saturday February 9th, 1901
41.47% 2-0 +17.6
Everton (4,041) vs. The Arsenal (3,853)
Saturday October 11th, 1919
14.57% 2-3 +17.1
Burnley (4,144) vs. Arsenal (3,957)
Saturday December 16th, 1961
15.70% 0-2 +25.3
Arsenal (3,877) vs. Bolton Wanderers (4,063)
Saturday March 7th, 1925
40.58% 1-0 +11.9

Significant Defeats

A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Arsenal history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

Match Win % Score ELO +/-
Wrexham (3,384) vs. Arsenal (4,090)
Saturday January 4th, 1992
97.41% 2-1 -19.5
Walsall (3,564) vs. Arsenal (4,176)
Saturday January 14th, 1933
94.12% 2-0 -28.2
Northampton Town (3,542) vs. Arsenal (4,008)
Saturday January 4th, 1958
88.81% 3-1 -26.6
Sheffield United (3,593) vs. Arsenal (4,054)
Tuesday October 6th, 1981
88.93% 1-0 -17.8
Rotherham United (3,605) vs. Arsenal (4,063)
Tuesday August 29th, 1978
88.42% 3-1 -26.5
Nottingham Forest (3,769) vs. Arsenal (4,226)
Sunday January 7th, 2018
91.74% 4-2 -13.8
Arsenal (4,078) vs. Norwich City (3,637)
Saturday January 30th, 1954
95.89% 1-2 -19.2
Ipswich Town (3,784) vs. Arsenal (4,220)
Wednesday January 12th, 2011
90.50% 1-0 -18.1
Arsenal (4,051) vs. Tranmere Rovers (3,625)
Tuesday October 2nd, 1973
95.45% 0-1 -19.1
Sheffield Wednesday (3,855) vs. Arsenal (4,272)
Tuesday October 27th, 2015
89.85% 3-0 -15.7
Nottingham Forest (3,840) vs. Arsenal (4,215)
Sunday January 9th, 2022
87.37% 1-0 -8.7
Arsenal (4,129) vs. Bradford (Park Avenue) (3,769)
Saturday January 10th, 1948
93.78% 0-1 -18.8
West Bromwich Albion (3,909) vs. Arsenal (4,262)
Saturday October 15th, 2005
84.66% 2-1 -16.9
Everton (3,943) vs. Arsenal (4,296)
Saturday October 19th, 2002
83.97% 2-1 -16.8
Arsenal (4,266) vs. Sunderland (3,916)
Wednesday November 6th, 2002
91.62% 2-3 -9.2
Burnley (3,848) vs. Arsenal (4,188)
Tuesday December 2nd, 2008
84.33% 2-0 -25.3
Everton (3,955) vs. Arsenal (4,288)
Saturday February 4th, 2023
84.56% 1-0 -16.9
Stoke City (3,898) vs. Arsenal (4,224)
Saturday November 1st, 2008
83.28% 2-1 -16.7
York City (3,700) vs. Arsenal (4,021)
Saturday January 26th, 1985
78.83% 1-0 -15.8
Birmingham City (3,972) vs. Arsenal (4,293)
Sunday May 15th, 2005
81.75% 2-1 -16.4

Opponents

A complete listing of Arsenal's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.

# Opponent P W D L Avg ELO +/-
1 Glossop North End Glossop North End 14 12 1 1 +7.50
2 Reading Reading 14 14 0 0 +4.47
3 Chesterfield Chesterfield 11 8 1 2 +3.86
4 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough 16 11 2 3 +3.06
5 Bristol City Bristol City 32 17 7 8 +2.61
6 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 55 35 11 9 +2.35
7 Fulham Fulham 63 42 12 9 +2.27
8 Port Vale Port Vale 22 12 6 4 +1.73
9 Darwen Darwen 11 7 1 3 +1.69
10 Burnley Burnley 115 57 24 34 +1.54
11 AFC Bournemouth Bournemouth 17 13 2 2 +1.52
12 Blackpool Blackpool 84 45 24 15 +1.51
13 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 106 55 22 29 +1.29
14 Everton Everton 221 110 46 65 +1.26
15 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 47 24 11 12 +1.21
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 11 7 2 2 +1.13
17 Manchester City Man City 209 97 47 65 +1.03
18 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn 121 59 31 31 +0.98
19 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 55 33 16 6 +0.91
20 West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion 143 73 32 38 +0.84
21 Coventry City Coventry City 76 43 19 14 +0.84
22 AFC Wimbledon Wimbledon 29 14 8 7 +0.82
23 Cardiff City Cardiff City 46 22 14 10 +0.77
24 Luton Town Luton Town 48 28 10 10 +0.72
25 Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves 125 64 29 32 +0.67
26 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 21 15 3 3 +0.66
27 Hull City Hull City 26 18 5 3 +0.56
28 Preston North End Preston North End 81 36 19 26 +0.54
29 Leicester City Leicester City 151 73 46 32 +0.52
30 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 126 55 35 36 +0.43
31 Loughborough Loughborough 10 7 1 2 +0.40
32 Stockport County Stockport County 13 8 3 2 +0.38
33 Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town 78 37 25 16 +0.34
34 Portsmouth Portsmouth 71 33 24 14 +0.24
35 Norwich City Norwich City 62 31 20 11 +0.19
36 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 59 30 11 18 +0.17
37 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 132 65 34 33 +0.12
38 Stoke City Stoke City 107 57 24 26 +0.11
39 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham 195 83 51 61 +0.06
40 West Ham United West Ham United 151 72 42 37 -0.10
41 Liverpool Liverpool 237 80 66 91 -0.16
42 Southampton Southampton 107 54 30 23 -0.20
43 Manchester United Man Utd 232 84 51 97 -0.23
44 Bolton Wanderers Bolton 134 59 36 39 -0.25
45 Chelsea Chelsea 204 82 59 63 -0.34
46 Lincoln City Lincoln City 27 14 7 6 -0.49
47 Bury Bury 34 15 7 12 -0.49
48 Birmingham City Birmingham 133 59 35 39 -0.57
49 Bradford City Bradford 26 11 6 9 -0.65
50 Notts County Notts County 46 19 7 20 -0.73
51 Leeds United Leeds United 127 53 33 41 -0.77
52 Aston Villa Aston Villa 204 88 45 71 -0.79
53 Brighton and Hove Albion Brighton 31 17 6 8 -0.81
54 Newcastle United Newcastle United 194 85 39 70 -0.90
55 Burton Swifts Burton Swifts 16 9 1 6 -0.99
56 Sheffield United Sheffield United 120 52 28 40 -1.03
57 Sunderland Sunderland 154 64 41 49 -1.21
58 Barnsley Barnsley 24 15 1 8 -1.25
59 Queens Park Rangers Q.P.R. 53 24 14 15 -1.26
60 Millwall Millwall 12 5 5 2 -1.79
61 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 23 6 12 5 -2.03
62 Derby County Derby County 109 46 23 40 -2.08
63 Watford Watford 34 20 2 12 -2.49
64 Oxford United Oxford United 10 5 3 2 -2.57
65 Brentford Brentford 18 8 4 6 -3.92
66 Swansea City Swansea City 25 13 3 9 -3.94
67 Walsall Walsall 17 6 3 8 -4.72