This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Aberdare Athletic
ELO Score History
A historical overview of Aberdare Athletic's ELO scores.
Best Teams in History
A list of the top 15 Aberdare Athletic sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1921 | Saturday September 24th, 1921 | 3,682.30 |
| 1926 | Saturday March 20th, 1926 | 3,677.14 |
| 1922 | Monday May 1st, 1922 | 3,669.99 |
| 1925 | Saturday October 17th, 1925 | 3,629.10 |
| 1924 | Saturday November 1st, 1924 | 3,628.68 |
| 1923 | Friday March 30th, 1923 | 3,615.54 |
| 1927 | Saturday April 9th, 1927 | 3,541.46 |
Worst Teams in History
A list of the worst 15 Aberdare Athletic sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1927 | Tuesday April 19th, 1927 | 3,505.15 |
| 1926 | Monday December 27th, 1926 | 3,521.31 |
| 1923 | Saturday February 3rd, 1923 | 3,547.07 |
| 1922 | Monday December 25th, 1922 | 3,548.46 |
| 1924 | Saturday September 6th, 1924 | 3,575.79 |
| 1925 | Saturday March 7th, 1925 | 3,578.19 |
| 1921 | Saturday August 27th, 1921 | 3,613.73 |
Significant Victories
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Aberdare Athletic history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,599) vs. Plymouth Argyle (3,854) Monday October 27th, 1924 |
31.54% | 3-1 | +20.5 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,595) vs. Swansea Town (3,778) Saturday February 23rd, 1924 |
40.53% | 4-2 | +17.8 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,599) vs. Swansea Town (3,769) Thursday April 2nd, 1925 |
42.78% | 3-1 | +17.2 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,593) vs. Plymouth Argyle (3,761) Saturday February 6th, 1926 |
43.41% | 6-1 | +22.6 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,571) vs. Brighton and Hove Albion (3,724) Saturday November 10th, 1923 |
44.59% | 3-1 | +16.6 |
|
Swansea Town (3,758) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,614) Monday August 29th, 1921 |
18.44% | 1-2 | +16.3 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,585) vs. Luton Town (3,727) Saturday October 14th, 1922 |
46.00% | 2-1 | +10.8 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,505) vs. Brentford (3,630) Saturday April 23rd, 1927 |
50.09% | 3-1 | +15.0 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,564) vs. Charlton Athletic (3,686) Saturday September 1st, 1923 |
49.07% | 4-1 | +17.8 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,595) vs. Northampton Town (3,713) Monday September 21st, 1925 |
50.46% | 1-0 | +9.9 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,635) vs. Swansea Town (3,753) Monday September 5th, 1921 |
49.42% | 2-1 | +10.1 |
|
Bristol City (3,717) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,604) Saturday December 27th, 1924 |
20.75% | 0-1 | +15.9 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,513) vs. Southend United (3,616) Saturday February 5th, 1927 |
53.38% | 1-0 | +9.3 |
|
Southend United (3,717) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,616) Saturday February 13th, 1926 |
21.72% | 0-1 | +15.7 |
|
Norwich City (3,648) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,547) Saturday February 10th, 1923 |
22.46% | 1-4 | +27.1 |
|
Brentford (3,629) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,530) Saturday December 4th, 1926 |
21.49% | 1-4 | +27.5 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,523) vs. Exeter City (3,619) Saturday March 26th, 1927 |
54.19% | 3-1 | +13.7 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,550) vs. Bournemouth and Boscombe Athletic (3,646) Saturday September 22nd, 1923 |
52.87% | 1-0 | +9.4 |
|
Northampton Town (3,689) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,593) Monday April 7th, 1924 |
22.80% | 1-2 | +15.4 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,595) vs. Charlton Athletic (3,689) Saturday March 24th, 1923 |
52.98% | 3-1 | +14.1 |
Significant Defeats
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Aberdare Athletic history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,608) vs. Queens Park Rangers (3,437) Monday September 20th, 1926 |
84.64% | 0-2 | -25.4 |
|
Queens Park Rangers (3,457) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,578) Thursday September 30th, 1926 |
49.27% | 3-0 | -17.2 |
|
Charlton Athletic (3,534) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,637) Thursday September 16th, 1926 |
46.76% | 5-1 | -17.5 |
|
Southend United (3,566) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,663) Saturday November 19th, 1921 |
47.59% | 3-2 | -9.5 |
|
Gillingham (3,569) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,666) Saturday April 1st, 1922 |
47.45% | 3-1 | -14.2 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,668) vs. Norwich City (3,574) Thursday March 16th, 1922 |
76.81% | 1-2 | -15.4 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,650) vs. Reading (3,559) Saturday December 17th, 1921 |
76.45% | 0-1 | -15.3 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,670) vs. Exeter City (3,581) Saturday May 6th, 1922 |
76.32% | 0-2 | -22.9 |
|
Exeter City (3,592) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,668) Saturday April 3rd, 1926 |
43.47% | 4-0 | -16.3 |
|
Southend United (3,552) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,619) Monday September 25th, 1922 |
43.16% | 4-0 | -16.2 |
|
Brentford (3,541) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,605) Saturday January 16th, 1926 |
41.81% | 1-0 | -8.4 |
|
Merthyr Town (3,554) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,617) Friday December 26th, 1924 |
41.96% | 3-1 | -12.6 |
|
Queens Park Rangers (3,546) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,608) Saturday April 5th, 1924 |
42.36% | 3-0 | -14.8 |
|
Newport County (3,607) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,661) Saturday February 25th, 1922 |
41.45% | 1-0 | -8.3 |
|
Exeter City (3,602) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,656) Saturday September 2nd, 1922 |
41.34% | 1-0 | -8.3 |
|
Northampton Town (3,606) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,658) Saturday October 22nd, 1921 |
41.28% | 2-0 | -12.4 |
|
Queens Park Rangers (3,574) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,622) Saturday December 20th, 1924 |
39.96% | 4-1 | -14.0 |
|
Charlton Athletic (3,618) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,666) Saturday October 15th, 1921 |
40.70% | 2-1 | -8.1 |
|
Aberdare Athletic (3,629) vs. Luton Town (3,597) Saturday October 24th, 1925 |
70.76% | 2-5 | -24.8 |
|
Reading (3,569) vs. Aberdare Athletic (3,595) Saturday April 28th, 1923 |
37.53% | 1-0 | -7.5 |
Opponents
A complete listing of Aberdare Athletic's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
| # | Opponent | P | W | D | L | Avg ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brentford
Brentford
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4.85 |
| 2 |
Watford
Watford
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +3.59 |
| 3 |
Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
|
12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +1.06 |
| 4 |
Southend United
Southend United
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +0.99 |
| 5 |
Bristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers
|
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +0.80 |
| 6 |
Newport County
Newport County
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +0.47 |
| 7 |
Norwich City
Norwich City
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +0.11 |
| 8 |
Reading
Reading
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +0.02 |
| 9 |
Charlton Athletic
Charlton Athletic
|
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -0.12 |
| 10 |
Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -0.49 |
| 11 |
Luton Town
Luton Town
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -0.78 |
| 12 |
Northampton Town
Northampton Town
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -1.12 |
| 13 |
Brighton and Hove Albion
Brighton
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -1.17 |
| 14 |
Gillingham
Gillingham
|
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1.45 |
| 15 |
Exeter City
Exeter City
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -1.54 |
| 16 |
Swindon Town
Swindon
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2.34 |
| 17 |
Queens Park Rangers
Q.P.R.
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -5.09 |
| 18 |
Millwall
Millwall
|
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -5.52 |