This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of Chesterfield's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| Chesterfield | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,553.8 Friday November 28th, 202528 NOV 2025 |
3,575.8 Friday November 28th, 202528 NOV 2025 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,889.4 Saturday December 14th, 194614 DEC 1946 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,160.8 Saturday February 1st, 189601 FEB 1896 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
A summary of all historical matches between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Chesterfield wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
Chesterfield goals |
Swindon goals |
Chesterfield SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 52 | 18 | 9 | 25 | 59 | 78 | 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Home | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 37 | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Away | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 20 | 41 | 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 FEB 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3493)
Swindon (3493)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3529)
Chesterfield (3529)
|
10.0 |
| 09 AUG 2024 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3500)
Chesterfield (3500)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3463)
Swindon (3463)
|
2.1 |
| 24 FEB 2018 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3402)
Chesterfield (3402)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
13.5 |
| 11 NOV 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3585)
Swindon (3585)
|
2 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3410)
Chesterfield (3410)
|
5.5 |
| 04 MAR 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3591)
Swindon (3591)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3520)
Chesterfield (3520)
|
13.0 |
| 13 AUG 2016 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3600)
Chesterfield (3600)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
15.7 |
| 23 APR 2016 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3603)
Chesterfield (3603)
|
8.6 |
| 28 NOV 2015 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3614)
Chesterfield (3614)
|
0 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3607)
Swindon (3607)
|
21.2 |
| 17 JAN 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
3 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3675)
Chesterfield (3675)
|
9.3 |
| 28 OCT 2014 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3642)
Chesterfield (3642)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3714)
Swindon (3714)
|
15.9 |
| 25 MAR 2006 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
2 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3600)
Chesterfield (3600)
|
13.7 |
| 28 DEC 2005 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3641)
Chesterfield (3641)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3580)
Swindon (3580)
|
3.3 |
| 07 MAY 2005 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3638)
Swindon (3638)
|
1 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3569)
Chesterfield (3569)
|
3.6 |
| 27 NOV 2004 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3620)
Chesterfield (3620)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3708)
Swindon (3708)
|
10.8 |
| 21 FEB 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3694)
Swindon (3694)
|
2 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3589)
Chesterfield (3589)
|
8.4 |
| 18 OCT 2003 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3485)
Chesterfield (3485)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3665)
Swindon (3665)
|
23.3 |
| 04 JAN 2003 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3602)
Swindon (3602)
|
3 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3598)
Chesterfield (3598)
|
14.1 |
| 13 AUG 2002 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3557)
Chesterfield (3557)
|
2 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3637)
Swindon (3637)
|
14.4 |
| 26 FEB 2002 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3612)
Swindon (3612)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3602)
Chesterfield (3602)
|
7.8 |
| 22 SEP 2001 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3584)
Chesterfield (3584)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3635)
Swindon (3635)
|
17.9 |
| 23 APR 1996 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3672)
Chesterfield (3672)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3806)
Swindon (3806)
|
12.2 |
| 09 SEP 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
1 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3637)
Chesterfield (3637)
|
5.3 |
| 14 MAR 1987 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3582)
Chesterfield (3582)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3753)
Swindon (3753)
|
11.5 |
| 18 OCT 1986 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3684)
Swindon (3684)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3535)
Chesterfield (3535)
|
4.1 |
| 09 APR 1985 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3561)
Chesterfield (3561)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3473)
Swindon (3473)
|
5.2 |
| 01 JAN 1985 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3454)
Swindon (3454)
|
4 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3546)
Chesterfield (3546)
|
18.7 |
| 14 JAN 1984 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3534)
Swindon (3534)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3449)
Chesterfield (3449)
|
14.7 |
| 27 AUG 1983 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3491)
Chesterfield (3491)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3492)
Swindon (3492)
|
7.4 |
| 01 MAY 1982 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3631)
Chesterfield (3631)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3588)
Swindon (3588)
|
6.1 |
| 29 SEP 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3646)
Swindon (3646)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3745)
Chesterfield (3745)
|
10.0 |
| 07 APR 1981 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3705)
Chesterfield (3705)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3647)
Swindon (3647)
|
4.2 |
| 10 JAN 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3626)
Swindon (3626)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3736)
Chesterfield (3736)
|
9.7 |
| 25 MAR 1980 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3701)
Chesterfield (3701)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3744)
Swindon (3744)
|
8.3 |
| 15 SEP 1979 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3730)
Swindon (3730)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3621)
Chesterfield (3621)
|
4.5 |
| 07 APR 1979 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3713)
Swindon (3713)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3587)
Chesterfield (3587)
|
4.2 |
| 28 FEB 1979 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3627)
Chesterfield (3627)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3723)
Swindon (3723)
|
0.3 |
| 03 MAY 1978 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3640)
Chesterfield (3640)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3664)
Swindon (3664)
|
11.6 |
| 10 SEP 1977 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3657)
Swindon (3657)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3628)
Chesterfield (3628)
|
6.3 |
| 12 FEB 1977 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3652)
Swindon (3652)
|
3 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3586)
Chesterfield (3586)
|
9.6 |
| 04 SEP 1976 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3645)
Chesterfield (3645)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3636)
Swindon (3636)
|
13.1 |
| 03 APR 1976 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3602)
Chesterfield (3602)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3599)
Swindon (3599)
|
13.2 |
| 16 AUG 1975 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3696)
Swindon (3696)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3662)
Chesterfield (3662)
|
13.8 |
| 05 NOV 1974 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3662)
Swindon (3662)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3646)
Chesterfield (3646)
|
6.8 |
| 02 OCT 1974 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3670)
Chesterfield (3670)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3626)
Swindon (3626)
|
20.9 |
| 10 OCT 1973 | LC |
Chesterfield (3622)
Chesterfield (3622)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3733)
Swindon (3733)
|
10.3 |
| 04 FEB 1961 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3521)
Chesterfield (3521)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
1.1 |
| 17 SEP 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3637)
Swindon (3637)
|
2 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3616)
Chesterfield (3616)
|
9.8 |
| 13 FEB 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3616)
Swindon (3616)
|
1 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3550)
Chesterfield (3550)
|
4.5 |
| 26 SEP 1959 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3577)
Chesterfield (3577)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3648)
Swindon (3648)
|
16.4 |
| 14 FEB 1959 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3620)
Swindon (3620)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3615)
Chesterfield (3615)
|
13.1 |
| 27 SEP 1958 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3589)
Chesterfield (3589)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3658)
Swindon (3658)
|
16.6 |
| 12 JAN 1935 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3610)
Swindon (3610)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3687)
Chesterfield (3687)
|
8.5 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Chesterfield (3554) and Swindon Town (3576).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 JAN 2010 | EFL |
AFC Bournemouth (3576)
Bournemouth (3576)
|
1 - 2 |
Bury (3554)
Bury (3554)
|
11.9 |
| 04 APR 2009 | EFL |
AFC Bournemouth (3554)
Bournemouth (3554)
|
4 - 0 |
Rochdale (3576)
Rochdale (3576)
|
17.4 |
| 21 SEP 2002 | EFL |
Rushden and Diamonds (3576)
Rushden (3576)
|
2 - 2 |
Wrexham (3554)
Wrexham (3554)
|
2.5 |
| 06 OCT 1928 | EFL |
New Brighton (3554)
New Brighton (3554)
|
3 - 1 |
Southport (3576)
Southport (3576)
|
10.5 |
| 14 NOV 1925 | EFL |
Durham City (3554)
Durham City (3554)
|
3 - 2 |
Southport (3576)
Southport (3576)
|
7.2 |
| 13 JAN 1923 | EFL |
Gillingham (3576)
Gillingham (3576)
|
3 - 0 |
Newport County (3554)
Newport County (3554)
|
11.0 |