Stat Attack

ELO Head-to-Head

This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Chesterfield vs. Swindon Town

Head-to-Head

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.

ELO Score History Comparison

A historical comparison of Chesterfield's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.

Chesterfield Swindon Town
Current ELO Score 3,553.8
Friday November 28th, 202528 NOV 2025
3,575.8
Friday November 28th, 202528 NOV 2025
Best ELO Score 3,889.4
Saturday December 14th, 194614 DEC 1946
3,900.4
Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990
Worst ELO Score 3,160.8
Saturday February 1st, 189601 FEB 1896
3,167.9
Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887

Past Matches

A summary of all historical matches between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.

Venue Played Chesterfield
wins
Draws Swindon
wins
Chesterfield
goals
Swindon
goals
Chesterfield
SR%
Swindon
SR%
TOTAL 52 18 9 25 59 78 43.3% 56.7%
Home 26 12 5 9 39 37 55.8% 44.2%
Away 26 6 4 16 20 41 30.8% 69.2%
Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
22 FEB 2025 EFL Swindon Town (3493) Swindon (3493) 1 - 0 Chesterfield (3529) Chesterfield (3529) 10.0
09 AUG 2024 EFL Chesterfield (3500) Chesterfield (3500) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3463) Swindon (3463) 2.1
24 FEB 2018 EFL Chesterfield (3402) Chesterfield (3402) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3568) Swindon (3568) 13.5
11 NOV 2017 EFL Swindon Town (3585) Swindon (3585) 2 - 2 Chesterfield (3410) Chesterfield (3410) 5.5
04 MAR 2017 EFL Swindon Town (3591) Swindon (3591) 0 - 1 Chesterfield (3520) Chesterfield (3520) 13.0
13 AUG 2016 EFL Chesterfield (3600) Chesterfield (3600) 3 - 1 Swindon Town (3651) Swindon (3651) 15.7
23 APR 2016 EFL Swindon Town (3613) Swindon (3613) 1 - 0 Chesterfield (3603) Chesterfield (3603) 8.6
28 NOV 2015 EFL Chesterfield (3614) Chesterfield (3614) 0 - 4 Swindon Town (3607) Swindon (3607) 21.2
17 JAN 2015 EFL Swindon Town (3774) Swindon (3774) 3 - 1 Chesterfield (3675) Chesterfield (3675) 9.3
28 OCT 2014 EFL Chesterfield (3642) Chesterfield (3642) 0 - 3 Swindon Town (3714) Swindon (3714) 15.9
25 MAR 2006 EFL Swindon Town (3575) Swindon (3575) 2 - 0 Chesterfield (3600) Chesterfield (3600) 13.7
28 DEC 2005 EFL Chesterfield (3641) Chesterfield (3641) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3580) Swindon (3580) 3.3
07 MAY 2005 EFL Swindon Town (3638) Swindon (3638) 1 - 1 Chesterfield (3569) Chesterfield (3569) 3.6
27 NOV 2004 EFL Chesterfield (3620) Chesterfield (3620) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3708) Swindon (3708) 10.8
21 FEB 2004 EFL Swindon Town (3694) Swindon (3694) 2 - 0 Chesterfield (3589) Chesterfield (3589) 8.4
18 OCT 2003 EFL Chesterfield (3485) Chesterfield (3485) 3 - 0 Swindon Town (3665) Swindon (3665) 23.3
04 JAN 2003 EFL Swindon Town (3602) Swindon (3602) 3 - 0 Chesterfield (3598) Chesterfield (3598) 14.1
13 AUG 2002 EFL Chesterfield (3557) Chesterfield (3557) 2 - 4 Swindon Town (3637) Swindon (3637) 14.4
26 FEB 2002 EFL Swindon Town (3612) Swindon (3612) 2 - 1 Chesterfield (3602) Chesterfield (3602) 7.8
22 SEP 2001 EFL Chesterfield (3584) Chesterfield (3584) 4 - 0 Swindon Town (3635) Swindon (3635) 17.9
23 APR 1996 EFL Chesterfield (3672) Chesterfield (3672) 1 - 3 Swindon Town (3806) Swindon (3806) 12.2
09 SEP 1995 EFL Swindon Town (3774) Swindon (3774) 1 - 1 Chesterfield (3637) Chesterfield (3637) 5.3
14 MAR 1987 EFL Chesterfield (3582) Chesterfield (3582) 1 - 3 Swindon Town (3753) Swindon (3753) 11.5
18 OCT 1986 EFL Swindon Town (3684) Swindon (3684) 2 - 1 Chesterfield (3535) Chesterfield (3535) 4.1
09 APR 1985 EFL Chesterfield (3561) Chesterfield (3561) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3473) Swindon (3473) 5.2
01 JAN 1985 EFL Swindon Town (3454) Swindon (3454) 4 - 0 Chesterfield (3546) Chesterfield (3546) 18.7
14 JAN 1984 EFL Swindon Town (3534) Swindon (3534) 1 - 2 Chesterfield (3449) Chesterfield (3449) 14.7
27 AUG 1983 EFL Chesterfield (3491) Chesterfield (3491) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3492) Swindon (3492) 7.4
01 MAY 1982 EFL Chesterfield (3631) Chesterfield (3631) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3588) Swindon (3588) 6.1
29 SEP 1981 EFL Swindon Town (3646) Swindon (3646) 1 - 2 Chesterfield (3745) Chesterfield (3745) 10.0
07 APR 1981 EFL Chesterfield (3705) Chesterfield (3705) 2 - 2 Swindon Town (3647) Swindon (3647) 4.2
10 JAN 1981 EFL Swindon Town (3626) Swindon (3626) 0 - 1 Chesterfield (3736) Chesterfield (3736) 9.7
25 MAR 1980 EFL Chesterfield (3701) Chesterfield (3701) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3744) Swindon (3744) 8.3
15 SEP 1979 EFL Swindon Town (3730) Swindon (3730) 2 - 1 Chesterfield (3621) Chesterfield (3621) 4.5
07 APR 1979 EFL Swindon Town (3713) Swindon (3713) 1 - 0 Chesterfield (3587) Chesterfield (3587) 4.2
28 FEB 1979 EFL Chesterfield (3627) Chesterfield (3627) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3723) Swindon (3723) 0.3
03 MAY 1978 EFL Chesterfield (3640) Chesterfield (3640) 3 - 1 Swindon Town (3664) Swindon (3664) 11.6
10 SEP 1977 EFL Swindon Town (3657) Swindon (3657) 2 - 1 Chesterfield (3628) Chesterfield (3628) 6.3
12 FEB 1977 EFL Swindon Town (3652) Swindon (3652) 3 - 0 Chesterfield (3586) Chesterfield (3586) 9.6
04 SEP 1976 EFL Chesterfield (3645) Chesterfield (3645) 0 - 1 Swindon Town (3636) Swindon (3636) 13.1
03 APR 1976 EFL Chesterfield (3602) Chesterfield (3602) 4 - 0 Swindon Town (3599) Swindon (3599) 13.2
16 AUG 1975 EFL Swindon Town (3696) Swindon (3696) 0 - 1 Chesterfield (3662) Chesterfield (3662) 13.8
05 NOV 1974 EFL Swindon Town (3662) Swindon (3662) 1 - 0 Chesterfield (3646) Chesterfield (3646) 6.8
02 OCT 1974 EFL Chesterfield (3670) Chesterfield (3670) 0 - 2 Swindon Town (3626) Swindon (3626) 20.9
10 OCT 1973 LC Chesterfield (3622) Chesterfield (3622) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3733) Swindon (3733) 10.3
04 FEB 1961 EFL Chesterfield (3521) Chesterfield (3521) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3586) Swindon (3586) 1.1
17 SEP 1960 EFL Swindon Town (3637) Swindon (3637) 2 - 0 Chesterfield (3616) Chesterfield (3616) 9.8
13 FEB 1960 EFL Swindon Town (3616) Swindon (3616) 1 - 1 Chesterfield (3550) Chesterfield (3550) 4.5
26 SEP 1959 EFL Chesterfield (3577) Chesterfield (3577) 1 - 3 Swindon Town (3648) Swindon (3648) 16.4
14 FEB 1959 EFL Swindon Town (3620) Swindon (3620) 1 - 2 Chesterfield (3615) Chesterfield (3615) 13.1
27 SEP 1958 EFL Chesterfield (3589) Chesterfield (3589) 1 - 3 Swindon Town (3658) Swindon (3658) 16.6
12 JAN 1935 FAC Swindon Town (3610) Swindon (3610) 2 - 1 Chesterfield (3687) Chesterfield (3687) 8.5

Identical Matchups

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Chesterfield (3554) and Swindon Town (3576).

Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
16 JAN 2010 EFL AFC Bournemouth (3576) Bournemouth (3576) 1 - 2 Bury (3554) Bury (3554) 11.9
04 APR 2009 EFL AFC Bournemouth (3554) Bournemouth (3554) 4 - 0 Rochdale (3576) Rochdale (3576) 17.4
21 SEP 2002 EFL Rushden and Diamonds (3576) Rushden (3576) 2 - 2 Wrexham (3554) Wrexham (3554) 2.5
06 OCT 1928 EFL New Brighton (3554) New Brighton (3554) 3 - 1 Southport (3576) Southport (3576) 10.5
14 NOV 1925 EFL Durham City (3554) Durham City (3554) 3 - 2 Southport (3576) Southport (3576) 7.2
13 JAN 1923 EFL Gillingham (3576) Gillingham (3576) 3 - 0 Newport County (3554) Newport County (3554) 11.0