Stat Attack

ELO Head-to-Head

This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Milton Keynes Dons vs. Swindon Town

Head-to-Head

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.

ELO Score History Comparison

A historical comparison of Milton Keynes Dons's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.

Milton Keynes Dons Swindon Town
Current ELO Score 3,552.1
Sunday December 21st, 202521 DEC 2025
3,600.7
Sunday December 21st, 202521 DEC 2025
Best ELO Score 3,828.9
Tuesday August 25th, 201525 AUG 2015
3,900.4
Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990
Worst ELO Score 3,419.7
Friday April 18th, 202518 APR 2025
3,167.9
Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887

Past Matches

A summary of all historical matches between Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.

Venue Played MK Dons
wins
Draws Swindon
wins
MK Dons
goals
Swindon
goals
MK Dons
SR%
Swindon
SR%
TOTAL 29 15 7 7 49 32 63.8% 36.2%
Home 15 9 2 4 31 21 66.7% 33.3%
Away 14 6 5 3 18 11 60.7% 39.3%
Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
03 MAY 2025 EFL Swindon Town (3554) Swindon (3554) 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons (3434) MK Dons (3434) 4.2
09 NOV 2024 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3562) MK Dons (3562) 3 - 1 Swindon Town (3440) Swindon (3440) 8.6
17 FEB 2024 EFL Swindon Town (3471) Swindon (3471) 1 - 2 Milton Keynes Dons (3591) MK Dons (3591) 7.6
28 OCT 2023 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3581) MK Dons (3581) 3 - 2 Swindon Town (3547) Swindon (3547) 8.0
24 APR 2021 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3664) MK Dons (3664) 5 - 0 Swindon Town (3540) Swindon (3540) 11.3
29 DEC 2020 EFL Swindon Town (3546) Swindon (3546) 1 - 4 Milton Keynes Dons (3611) MK Dons (3611) 16.2
09 FEB 2019 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3564) MK Dons (3564) 2 - 3 Swindon Town (3496) Swindon (3496) 13.1
01 SEP 2018 EFL Swindon Town (3524) Swindon (3524) 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3598) MK Dons (3598) 1.0
08 APR 2017 EFL Swindon Town (3586) Swindon (3586) 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3681) MK Dons (3681) 1.7
30 DEC 2016 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3645) MK Dons (3645) 3 - 2 Swindon Town (3594) Swindon (3594) 7.5
04 APR 2015 EFL Swindon Town (3741) Swindon (3741) 0 - 3 Milton Keynes Dons (3738) MK Dons (3738) 19.7
01 NOV 2014 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3717) MK Dons (3717) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3730) Swindon (3730) 9.2
08 MAR 2014 EFL Swindon Town (3664) Swindon (3664) 1 - 2 Milton Keynes Dons (3670) MK Dons (3670) 11.0
07 SEP 2013 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3733) MK Dons (3733) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3723) Swindon (3723) 1.5
09 APR 2013 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3715) MK Dons (3715) 2 - 0 Swindon Town (3747) Swindon (3747) 14.5
25 AUG 2012 EFL Swindon Town (3701) Swindon (3701) 1 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons (3756) MK Dons (3756) 10.3
16 APR 2011 EFL Swindon Town (3585) Swindon (3585) 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3712) MK Dons (3712) 7.7
28 AUG 2010 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3631) MK Dons (3631) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3705) Swindon (3705) 10.8
09 MAR 2010 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3678) MK Dons (3678) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3721) Swindon (3721) 9.9
15 AUG 2009 EFL Swindon Town (3632) Swindon (3632) 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons (3755) MK Dons (3755) 2.2
11 AUG 2009 LC Milton Keynes Dons (3768) MK Dons (3768) 1 - 4 Swindon Town (3618) Swindon (3618) 13.2
07 MAR 2009 EFL Swindon Town (3603) Swindon (3603) 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3776) MK Dons (3776) 3.5
30 AUG 2008 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3713) MK Dons (3713) 1 - 2 Swindon Town (3625) Swindon (3625) 13.7
01 JAN 2007 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3640) MK Dons (3640) 0 - 1 Swindon Town (3616) Swindon (3616) 12.1
12 SEP 2006 EFL Swindon Town (3616) Swindon (3616) 2 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3611) MK Dons (3611) 8.4
15 APR 2006 EFL Swindon Town (3581) Swindon (3581) 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3560) MK Dons (3560) 12.2
01 OCT 2005 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3593) MK Dons (3593) 3 - 1 Swindon Town (3577) Swindon (3577) 11.9
25 MAR 2005 EFL Milton Keynes Dons (3606) MK Dons (3606) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3666) Swindon (3666) 0.0
14 AUG 2004 EFL Swindon Town (3677) Swindon (3677) 2 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons (3643) MK Dons (3643) 7.4

Identical Matchups

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Milton Keynes Dons (3552) and Swindon Town (3601).

Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
30 JAN 2021 EFL Forest Green Rovers (3552) Forest Green (3552) 0 - 0 Cheltenham Town (3601) Cheltenham Town (3601) 0.3
23 JAN 1954 EFL Grimsby Town (3552) Grimsby Town (3552) 0 - 0 Wrexham (3601) Wrexham (3601) 1.6
28 OCT 1950 EFL Bournemouth and Boscombe Athletic (3601) Bournemouth (3601) 2 - 0 Newport County (3552) Newport County (3552) 9.1