This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Milton Keynes Dons
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Milton Keynes Dons's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,577.8 Saturday March 7th, 202607 MAR 2026 |
3,604.6 Saturday March 7th, 202607 MAR 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,828.9 Tuesday August 25th, 201525 AUG 2015 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,419.7 Friday April 18th, 202518 APR 2025 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Milton Keynes Dons, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | MK Dons wins |
Swindon goals |
MK Dons goals |
Swindon SR% |
MK Dons SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 50 | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Home | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| Away | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 32 | 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 DEC 2025 | EFL | 
Milton Keynes Dons (3552)
MK Dons (3552)
|
1 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3601)
Swindon (3601)
|
10.3 |
| 03 MAY 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3554)
Swindon (3554)
|
0 - 0 | 
Milton Keynes Dons (3434)
MK Dons (3434)
|
4.2 |
| 09 NOV 2024 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3562)
MK Dons (3562)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3440)
Swindon (3440)
|
8.6 |
| 17 FEB 2024 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3471)
Swindon (3471)
|
1 - 2 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3591)
MK Dons (3591)
|
7.6 |
| 28 OCT 2023 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3581)
MK Dons (3581)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3547)
Swindon (3547)
|
8.0 |
| 24 APR 2021 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3664)
MK Dons (3664)
|
5 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3540)
Swindon (3540)
|
11.3 |
| 29 DEC 2020 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3546)
Swindon (3546)
|
1 - 4 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3611)
MK Dons (3611)
|
16.2 |
| 09 FEB 2019 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3564)
MK Dons (3564)
|
2 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3496)
Swindon (3496)
|
13.1 |
| 01 SEP 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3524)
Swindon (3524)
|
1 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3598)
MK Dons (3598)
|
1.0 |
| 08 APR 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
1 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3681)
MK Dons (3681)
|
1.7 |
| 30 DEC 2016 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3645)
MK Dons (3645)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3594)
Swindon (3594)
|
7.5 |
| 04 APR 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3741)
Swindon (3741)
|
0 - 3 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3738)
MK Dons (3738)
|
19.7 |
| 01 NOV 2014 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3717)
MK Dons (3717)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3730)
Swindon (3730)
|
9.2 |
| 08 MAR 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3664)
Swindon (3664)
|
1 - 2 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3670)
MK Dons (3670)
|
11.0 |
| 07 SEP 2013 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3733)
MK Dons (3733)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3723)
Swindon (3723)
|
1.5 |
| 09 APR 2013 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3715)
MK Dons (3715)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3747)
Swindon (3747)
|
14.5 |
| 25 AUG 2012 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3701)
Swindon (3701)
|
1 - 0 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3756)
MK Dons (3756)
|
10.3 |
| 16 APR 2011 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3585)
Swindon (3585)
|
0 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3712)
MK Dons (3712)
|
7.7 |
| 28 AUG 2010 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3631)
MK Dons (3631)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3705)
Swindon (3705)
|
10.8 |
| 09 MAR 2010 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3678)
MK Dons (3678)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3721)
Swindon (3721)
|
9.9 |
| 15 AUG 2009 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3632)
Swindon (3632)
|
0 - 0 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3755)
MK Dons (3755)
|
2.2 |
| 11 AUG 2009 | LC |
Milton Keynes Dons (3768)
MK Dons (3768)
|
1 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3618)
Swindon (3618)
|
13.2 |
| 07 MAR 2009 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3603)
Swindon (3603)
|
1 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3776)
MK Dons (3776)
|
3.5 |
| 30 AUG 2008 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3713)
MK Dons (3713)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3625)
Swindon (3625)
|
13.7 |
| 01 JAN 2007 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3640)
MK Dons (3640)
|
0 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3616)
Swindon (3616)
|
12.1 |
| 12 SEP 2006 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3616)
Swindon (3616)
|
2 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3611)
MK Dons (3611)
|
8.4 |
| 15 APR 2006 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3581)
Swindon (3581)
|
0 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3560)
MK Dons (3560)
|
12.2 |
| 01 OCT 2005 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3593)
MK Dons (3593)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3577)
Swindon (3577)
|
11.9 |
| 25 MAR 2005 | EFL |
Milton Keynes Dons (3606)
MK Dons (3606)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3666)
Swindon (3666)
|
0.0 |
| 14 AUG 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3677)
Swindon (3677)
|
2 - 1 |
Milton Keynes Dons (3643)
MK Dons (3643)
|
7.4 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3578) and Milton Keynes Dons (3605).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 JAN 1978 | EFL | 
Chesterfield (3605)
Chesterfield (3605)
|
3 - 0 | 
Oxford United (3578)
Oxford United (3578)
|
11.2 |
| 26 OCT 1929 | EFL | 
Wigan Borough (3605)
Wigan Borough (3605)
|
3 - 2 | 
Darlington (3578)
Darlington (3578)
|
5.8 |
| 03 OCT 1925 | EFL | 
Lincoln City (3578)
Lincoln City (3578)
|
3 - 1 | 
New Brighton (3605)
New Brighton (3605)
|
11.0 |