This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Oldham Athletic
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Oldham Athletic's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Oldham Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,586.6 Wednesday February 4th, 202604 FEB 2026 |
3,495.3 Wednesday February 4th, 202604 FEB 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
4,108.5 Saturday November 28th, 191428 NOV 1914 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,187.8 Saturday February 2nd, 190702 FEB 1907 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Oldham Athletic, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Oldham Athletic wins |
Swindon goals |
Oldham Athletic goals |
Swindon SR% |
Oldham Athletic SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 61 | 23 | 16 | 22 | 90 | 81 | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| Home | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 50 | 32 | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Away | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 40 | 49 | 43.1% | 56.9% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 AUG 2025 | EFL | 
Oldham Athletic (3462)
Oldham Athletic (3462)
|
1 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3549)
Swindon (3549)
|
8.6 |
| 12 MAR 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3564)
Swindon (3564)
|
1 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3424)
Oldham Athletic (3424)
|
5.3 |
| 30 OCT 2021 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3424)
Oldham Athletic (3424)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3561)
Swindon (3561)
|
10.9 |
| 14 DEC 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3583)
Swindon (3583)
|
2 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3505)
Oldham Athletic (3505)
|
10.1 |
| 13 APR 2019 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3579)
Oldham Athletic (3579)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
2.2 |
| 29 SEP 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
0 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3593)
Oldham Athletic (3593)
|
0.3 |
| 18 FEB 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3560)
Swindon (3560)
|
0 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3597)
Oldham Athletic (3597)
|
0.0 |
| 24 SEP 2016 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3606)
Oldham Athletic (3606)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3614)
Swindon (3614)
|
16.2 |
| 05 APR 2016 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3589)
Oldham Athletic (3589)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3642)
Swindon (3642)
|
15.6 |
| 20 OCT 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3627)
Swindon (3627)
|
1 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3582)
Oldham Athletic (3582)
|
12.3 |
| 10 FEB 2015 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3661)
Oldham Athletic (3661)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3778)
Swindon (3778)
|
12.2 |
| 16 SEP 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3687)
Swindon (3687)
|
2 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3638)
Oldham Athletic (3638)
|
2.5 |
| 01 FEB 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3683)
Swindon (3683)
|
0 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3595)
Oldham Athletic (3595)
|
13.6 |
| 26 OCT 2013 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3588)
Oldham Athletic (3588)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3727)
Swindon (3727)
|
12.8 |
| 29 MAR 2013 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3763)
Swindon (3763)
|
1 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3598)
Oldham Athletic (3598)
|
5.4 |
| 15 DEC 2012 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3620)
Oldham Athletic (3620)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3711)
Swindon (3711)
|
12.9 |
| 30 APR 2011 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3556)
Swindon (3556)
|
0 - 2 | 
Oldham Athletic (3589)
Oldham Athletic (3589)
|
15.5 |
| 08 JAN 2011 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3622)
Oldham Athletic (3622)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3685)
Swindon (3685)
|
15.8 |
| 09 FEB 2010 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3727)
Swindon (3727)
|
4 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3597)
Oldham Athletic (3597)
|
8.1 |
| 22 AUG 2009 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3624)
Oldham Athletic (3624)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3645)
Swindon (3645)
|
0.7 |
| 31 JAN 2009 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3695)
Oldham Athletic (3695)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3594)
Swindon (3594)
|
4.0 |
| 25 OCT 2008 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3609)
Swindon (3609)
|
2 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3714)
Oldham Athletic (3714)
|
17.4 |
| 05 APR 2008 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3604)
Swindon (3604)
|
3 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3696)
Oldham Athletic (3696)
|
19.6 |
| 26 FEB 2008 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3691)
Oldham Athletic (3691)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3633)
Swindon (3633)
|
3.0 |
| 10 DEC 2005 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3613)
Oldham Athletic (3613)
|
2 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3565)
Swindon (3565)
|
2.9 |
| 09 AUG 2005 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3623)
Swindon (3623)
|
2 - 3 |
Oldham Athletic (3615)
Oldham Athletic (3615)
|
11.8 |
| 05 FEB 2005 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3664)
Oldham Athletic (3664)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3659)
Swindon (3659)
|
11.8 |
| 16 OCT 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3702)
Swindon (3702)
|
1 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3643)
Oldham Athletic (3643)
|
6.7 |
| 24 APR 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3721)
Swindon (3721)
|
1 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3660)
Oldham Athletic (3660)
|
13.3 |
| 15 NOV 2003 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3695)
Oldham Athletic (3695)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3632)
Swindon (3632)
|
13.4 |
| 26 APR 2003 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3723)
Oldham Athletic (3723)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3634)
Swindon (3634)
|
11.0 |
| 05 OCT 2002 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3583)
Swindon (3583)
|
0 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3730)
Oldham Athletic (3730)
|
7.7 |
| 16 JAN 2002 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3659)
Oldham Athletic (3659)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3600)
Swindon (3600)
|
9.8 |
| 25 AUG 2001 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3602)
Swindon (3602)
|
0 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3617)
Oldham Athletic (3617)
|
17.2 |
| 06 MAR 2001 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3580)
Swindon (3580)
|
3 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3627)
Oldham Athletic (3627)
|
16.5 |
| 14 OCT 2000 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3562)
Oldham Athletic (3562)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3631)
Swindon (3631)
|
10.1 |
| 31 MAR 1997 | EFL | 
Oldham Athletic (3727)
Oldham Athletic (3727)
|
5 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3780)
Swindon (3780)
|
18.1 |
| 28 AUG 1996 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3808)
Swindon (3808)
|
1 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3772)
Oldham Athletic (3772)
|
7.2 |
| 12 FEB 1996 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3798)
Swindon (3798)
|
1 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3808)
Oldham Athletic (3808)
|
4.2 |
| 08 APR 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3727)
Swindon (3727)
|
3 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3823)
Oldham Athletic (3823)
|
16.1 |
| 31 DEC 1994 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3854)
Oldham Athletic (3854)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3746)
Swindon (3746)
|
4.7 |
| 07 DEC 1993 | PREM |
Oldham Athletic (3871)
Oldham Athletic (3871)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3802)
Swindon (3802)
|
6.1 |
| 18 AUG 1993 | PREM |
Swindon Town (3847)
Swindon (3847)
|
0 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3899)
Oldham Athletic (3899)
|
10.6 |
| 27 OCT 1992 | LC |
Swindon Town (3860)
Swindon (3860)
|
0 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3921)
Oldham Athletic (3921)
|
5.2 |
| 12 MAR 1991 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3803)
Swindon (3803)
|
2 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3917)
Oldham Athletic (3917)
|
1.1 |
| 02 OCT 1990 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3907)
Oldham Athletic (3907)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3848)
Swindon (3848)
|
6.3 |
| 13 JAN 1990 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3861)
Swindon (3861)
|
3 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3887)
Oldham Athletic (3887)
|
8.5 |
| 26 AUG 1989 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3793)
Oldham Athletic (3793)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3854)
Swindon (3854)
|
0.5 |
| 13 MAY 1989 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3799)
Oldham Athletic (3799)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3878)
Swindon (3878)
|
0.1 |
| 10 DEC 1988 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3789)
Swindon (3789)
|
2 - 2 |
Oldham Athletic (3789)
Oldham Athletic (3789)
|
2.3 |
| 12 MAR 1988 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3798)
Oldham Athletic (3798)
|
4 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3833)
Swindon (3833)
|
8.5 |
| 10 OCT 1987 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3835)
Swindon (3835)
|
2 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3774)
Oldham Athletic (3774)
|
8.9 |
| 28 JAN 1969 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3794)
Swindon (3794)
|
5 - 1 | 
Oldham Athletic (3506)
Oldham Athletic (3506)
|
3.5 |
| 26 OCT 1968 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3515)
Oldham Athletic (3515)
|
2 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3787)
Swindon (3787)
|
5.5 |
| 27 APR 1968 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3705)
Swindon (3705)
|
0 - 0 |
Oldham Athletic (3654)
Oldham Athletic (3654)
|
4.2 |
| 02 DEC 1967 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3646)
Oldham Athletic (3646)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3728)
Swindon (3728)
|
16.0 |
| 28 APR 1967 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3648)
Oldham Athletic (3648)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3782)
Swindon (3782)
|
10.9 |
| 03 DEC 1966 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3698)
Swindon (3698)
|
6 - 3 |
Oldham Athletic (3697)
Oldham Athletic (3697)
|
12.4 |
| 12 APR 1966 | EFL |
Oldham Athletic (3594)
Oldham Athletic (3594)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3736)
Swindon (3736)
|
1.1 |
| 11 APR 1966 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3753)
Swindon (3753)
|
0 - 1 |
Oldham Athletic (3578)
Oldham Athletic (3578)
|
16.7 |
| 02 FEB 1924 | FAC | 
Swindon Town (3708)
Swindon (3708)
|
2 - 0 | 
Oldham Athletic (3832)
Oldham Athletic (3832)
|
15.4 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3587) and Oldham Athletic (3495).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 OCT 2023 | EFL | 
Morecambe (3587)
Morecambe (3587)
|
4 - 1 | 
AFC Wimbledon (3495)
Wimbledon (3495)
|
11.3 |
| 22 OCT 1938 | EFL | 
York City (3587)
York City (3587)
|
2 - 3 | 
Barrow (3495)
Barrow (3495)
|
15.7 |