This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Morecambe vs. Swindon Town
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Morecambe's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| Morecambe | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,404.6 Saturday March 29th, 202529 MAR 2025 |
3,515.5 Saturday March 29th, 202529 MAR 2025 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,621.2 Tuesday September 28th, 202128 SEP 2021 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,108.0 Tuesday November 27th, 197927 NOV 1979 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Morecambe and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Morecambe wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
Morecambe goals |
Swindon goals |
Morecambe SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 22.7% | 77.3% |
| Home | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12.5% | 87.5% |
| Away | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 NOV 2024 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3434)
Swindon (3434)
|
2 - 3 | 
Morecambe (3426)
Morecambe (3426)
|
11.3 |
| 27 APR 2024 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3463)
Swindon (3463)
|
3 - 3 |
Morecambe (3483)
Morecambe (3483)
|
0.5 |
| 23 SEP 2023 | EFL |
Morecambe (3559)
Morecambe (3559)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3558)
Swindon (3558)
|
1.1 |
| 31 AUG 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3536)
Swindon (3536)
|
3 - 1 |
Morecambe (3466)
Morecambe (3466)
|
10.4 |
| 23 MAR 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3511)
Swindon (3511)
|
4 - 0 |
Morecambe (3460)
Morecambe (3460)
|
13.9 |
| 08 SEP 2018 | EFL |
Morecambe (3400)
Morecambe (3400)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3525)
Swindon (3525)
|
7.6 |
| 30 MAR 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3534)
Swindon (3534)
|
1 - 1 |
Morecambe (3461)
Morecambe (3461)
|
3.1 |
| 19 AUG 2017 | EFL |
Morecambe (3415)
Morecambe (3415)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3570)
Swindon (3570)
|
6.8 |
| 06 APR 2012 | EFL |
Morecambe (3511)
Morecambe (3511)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3692)
Swindon (3692)
|
6.3 |
| 17 DEC 2011 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3623)
Swindon (3623)
|
3 - 0 |
Morecambe (3524)
Morecambe (3524)
|
10.7 |
| 02 DEC 2006 | FAC | 
Swindon Town (3619)
Swindon (3619)
|
1 - 0 | 
Morecambe (3480)
Morecambe (3480)
|
2.5 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Morecambe (3405) and Swindon Town (3515).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 MAY 1960 | EFL | 
Gillingham (3515)
Gillingham (3515)
|
3 - 1 | 
Carlisle United (3405)
Carlisle United (3405)
|
6.8 |