This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Chesterfield
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Chesterfield's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,492.7 Saturday February 22nd, 202522 FEB 2025 |
3,528.8 Saturday February 22nd, 202522 FEB 2025 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,889.4 Saturday December 14th, 194614 DEC 1946 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,160.8 Saturday February 1st, 189601 FEB 1896 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Chesterfield, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Chesterfield wins |
Swindon goals |
Chesterfield goals |
Swindon SR% |
Chesterfield SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 51 | 24 | 9 | 18 | 77 | 59 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Home | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 20 | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| Away | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 AUG 2024 | EFL | 
Chesterfield (3500)
Chesterfield (3500)
|
1 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3463)
Swindon (3463)
|
2.1 |
| 24 FEB 2018 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3402)
Chesterfield (3402)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
13.5 |
| 11 NOV 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3585)
Swindon (3585)
|
2 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3410)
Chesterfield (3410)
|
5.5 |
| 04 MAR 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3591)
Swindon (3591)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3520)
Chesterfield (3520)
|
13.0 |
| 13 AUG 2016 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3600)
Chesterfield (3600)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
15.7 |
| 23 APR 2016 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3603)
Chesterfield (3603)
|
8.6 |
| 28 NOV 2015 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3614)
Chesterfield (3614)
|
0 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3607)
Swindon (3607)
|
21.2 |
| 17 JAN 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
3 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3675)
Chesterfield (3675)
|
9.3 |
| 28 OCT 2014 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3642)
Chesterfield (3642)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3714)
Swindon (3714)
|
15.9 |
| 25 MAR 2006 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
2 - 0 | 
Chesterfield (3600)
Chesterfield (3600)
|
13.7 |
| 28 DEC 2005 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3641)
Chesterfield (3641)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3580)
Swindon (3580)
|
3.3 |
| 07 MAY 2005 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3638)
Swindon (3638)
|
1 - 1 | 
Chesterfield (3569)
Chesterfield (3569)
|
3.6 |
| 27 NOV 2004 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3620)
Chesterfield (3620)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3708)
Swindon (3708)
|
10.8 |
| 21 FEB 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3694)
Swindon (3694)
|
2 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3589)
Chesterfield (3589)
|
8.4 |
| 18 OCT 2003 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3485)
Chesterfield (3485)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3665)
Swindon (3665)
|
23.3 |
| 04 JAN 2003 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3602)
Swindon (3602)
|
3 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3598)
Chesterfield (3598)
|
14.1 |
| 13 AUG 2002 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3557)
Chesterfield (3557)
|
2 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3637)
Swindon (3637)
|
14.4 |
| 26 FEB 2002 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3612)
Swindon (3612)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3602)
Chesterfield (3602)
|
7.8 |
| 22 SEP 2001 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3584)
Chesterfield (3584)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3635)
Swindon (3635)
|
17.9 |
| 23 APR 1996 | EFL | 
Chesterfield (3672)
Chesterfield (3672)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3806)
Swindon (3806)
|
12.2 |
| 09 SEP 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
1 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3637)
Chesterfield (3637)
|
5.3 |
| 14 MAR 1987 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3582)
Chesterfield (3582)
|
1 - 3 | 
Swindon Town (3753)
Swindon (3753)
|
11.5 |
| 18 OCT 1986 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3684)
Swindon (3684)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3535)
Chesterfield (3535)
|
4.1 |
| 09 APR 1985 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3561)
Chesterfield (3561)
|
1 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3473)
Swindon (3473)
|
5.2 |
| 01 JAN 1985 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3454)
Swindon (3454)
|
4 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3546)
Chesterfield (3546)
|
18.7 |
| 14 JAN 1984 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3534)
Swindon (3534)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3449)
Chesterfield (3449)
|
14.7 |
| 27 AUG 1983 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3491)
Chesterfield (3491)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3492)
Swindon (3492)
|
7.4 |
| 01 MAY 1982 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3631)
Chesterfield (3631)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3588)
Swindon (3588)
|
6.1 |
| 29 SEP 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3646)
Swindon (3646)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3745)
Chesterfield (3745)
|
10.0 |
| 07 APR 1981 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3705)
Chesterfield (3705)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3647)
Swindon (3647)
|
4.2 |
| 10 JAN 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3626)
Swindon (3626)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3736)
Chesterfield (3736)
|
9.7 |
| 25 MAR 1980 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3701)
Chesterfield (3701)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3744)
Swindon (3744)
|
8.3 |
| 15 SEP 1979 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3730)
Swindon (3730)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3621)
Chesterfield (3621)
|
4.5 |
| 07 APR 1979 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3713)
Swindon (3713)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3587)
Chesterfield (3587)
|
4.2 |
| 28 FEB 1979 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3627)
Chesterfield (3627)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3723)
Swindon (3723)
|
0.3 |
| 03 MAY 1978 | EFL | 
Chesterfield (3640)
Chesterfield (3640)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3664)
Swindon (3664)
|
11.6 |
| 10 SEP 1977 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3657)
Swindon (3657)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3628)
Chesterfield (3628)
|
6.3 |
| 12 FEB 1977 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3652)
Swindon (3652)
|
3 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3586)
Chesterfield (3586)
|
9.6 |
| 04 SEP 1976 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3645)
Chesterfield (3645)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3636)
Swindon (3636)
|
13.1 |
| 03 APR 1976 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3602)
Chesterfield (3602)
|
4 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3599)
Swindon (3599)
|
13.2 |
| 16 AUG 1975 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3696)
Swindon (3696)
|
0 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3662)
Chesterfield (3662)
|
13.8 |
| 05 NOV 1974 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3662)
Swindon (3662)
|
1 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3646)
Chesterfield (3646)
|
6.8 |
| 02 OCT 1974 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3670)
Chesterfield (3670)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3626)
Swindon (3626)
|
20.9 |
| 10 OCT 1973 | LC |
Chesterfield (3622)
Chesterfield (3622)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3733)
Swindon (3733)
|
10.3 |
| 04 FEB 1961 | EFL | 
Chesterfield (3521)
Chesterfield (3521)
|
1 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
1.1 |
| 17 SEP 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3637)
Swindon (3637)
|
2 - 0 |
Chesterfield (3616)
Chesterfield (3616)
|
9.8 |
| 13 FEB 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3616)
Swindon (3616)
|
1 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3550)
Chesterfield (3550)
|
4.5 |
| 26 SEP 1959 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3577)
Chesterfield (3577)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3648)
Swindon (3648)
|
16.4 |
| 14 FEB 1959 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3620)
Swindon (3620)
|
1 - 2 |
Chesterfield (3615)
Chesterfield (3615)
|
13.1 |
| 27 SEP 1958 | EFL |
Chesterfield (3589)
Chesterfield (3589)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3658)
Swindon (3658)
|
16.6 |
| 12 JAN 1935 | FAC | 
Swindon Town (3610)
Swindon (3610)
|
2 - 1 |
Chesterfield (3687)
Chesterfield (3687)
|
8.5 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3493) and Chesterfield (3529).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 NOV 2017 | EFL | 
Lincoln City (3529)
Lincoln City (3529)
|
3 - 1 | 
Port Vale (3493)
Port Vale (3493)
|
11.8 |
| 19 DEC 1998 | EFL | 
Plymouth Argyle (3529)
Plymouth Argyle (3529)
|
2 - 0 | 
Carlisle United (3493)
Carlisle United (3493)
|
10.7 |
| 11 NOV 1970 | EFL | 
Crewe Alexandra (3493)
Crewe Alexandra (3493)
|
6 - 3 | 
Chester (3529)
Chester (3529)
|
14.1 |
| 03 SEP 1966 | EFL | 
Luton Town (3529)
Luton Town (3529)
|
3 - 1 | 
Newport County (3493)
Newport County (3493)
|
9.3 |