This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Colchester United
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Colchester United's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,545.4 Wednesday September 2nd, 202602 SEP 2026 |
3,546.6 Wednesday September 2nd, 202602 SEP 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,842.4 Saturday April 21st, 200721 APR 2007 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,168.5 Saturday November 30th, 194630 NOV 1946 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Colchester United, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Colchester United wins |
Swindon goals |
Colchester United goals |
Swindon SR% |
Colchester United SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 94 | 34 | 23 | 37 | 121 | 127 | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Home | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 77 | 50 | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Away | 48 | 12 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 77 | 35.4% | 64.6% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 APR 2026 | EFL | 
Colchester United (3522)
Colchester United (3522)
|
3 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3590)
Swindon (3590)
|
19.0 |
| 25 OCT 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
0 - 0 |
Colchester United (3529)
Colchester United (3529)
|
2.2 |
| 01 JAN 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3448)
Swindon (3448)
|
3 - 2 |
Colchester United (3490)
Colchester United (3490)
|
10.1 |
| 03 DEC 2024 | EFL |
Colchester United (3456)
Colchester United (3456)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3424)
Swindon (3424)
|
15.0 |
| 02 NOV 2024 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3436)
Swindon (3436)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3439)
Colchester United (3439)
|
4.5 |
| 06 JAN 2024 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3468)
Swindon (3468)
|
2 - 2 |
Colchester United (3412)
Colchester United (3412)
|
2.6 |
| 07 NOV 2023 | EFL |
Colchester United (3457)
Colchester United (3457)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3525)
Swindon (3525)
|
16.4 |
| 01 JAN 2023 | EFL |
Colchester United (3418)
Colchester United (3418)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3570)
Swindon (3570)
|
13.2 |
| 15 OCT 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3577)
Swindon (3577)
|
1 - 0 |
Colchester United (3438)
Colchester United (3438)
|
5.3 |
| 29 JAN 2022 | EFL |
Colchester United (3430)
Colchester United (3430)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3582)
Swindon (3582)
|
3.1 |
| 25 SEP 2021 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3544)
Swindon (3544)
|
0 - 0 |
Colchester United (3471)
Colchester United (3471)
|
3.1 |
| 28 JAN 2020 | EFL |
Colchester United (3592)
Colchester United (3592)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3604)
Swindon (3604)
|
13.8 |
| 17 SEP 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3572)
Swindon (3572)
|
0 - 3 |
Colchester United (3527)
Colchester United (3527)
|
21.7 |
| 13 AUG 2019 | LC |
Colchester United (3517)
Colchester United (3517)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3555)
Swindon (3555)
|
8.7 |
| 02 MAR 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3522)
Swindon (3522)
|
3 - 0 |
Colchester United (3545)
Colchester United (3545)
|
16.6 |
| 03 NOV 2018 | EFL |
Colchester United (3557)
Colchester United (3557)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3509)
Swindon (3509)
|
7.5 |
| 28 APR 2018 | EFL |
Colchester United (3513)
Colchester United (3513)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3502)
Swindon (3502)
|
1.4 |
| 16 DEC 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3552)
Swindon (3552)
|
2 - 3 |
Colchester United (3553)
Colchester United (3553)
|
11.1 |
| 13 FEB 2016 | EFL |
Colchester United (3505)
Colchester United (3505)
|
1 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3634)
Swindon (3634)
|
13.1 |
| 26 SEP 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3675)
Swindon (3675)
|
1 - 2 |
Colchester United (3614)
Colchester United (3614)
|
12.8 |
| 28 APR 2015 | EFL |
Colchester United (3595)
Colchester United (3595)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3703)
Swindon (3703)
|
1.9 |
| 25 OCT 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3717)
Swindon (3717)
|
2 - 2 |
Colchester United (3618)
Colchester United (3618)
|
3.8 |
| 14 FEB 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3680)
Swindon (3680)
|
0 - 0 |
Colchester United (3618)
Colchester United (3618)
|
2.9 |
| 16 NOV 2013 | EFL |
Colchester United (3594)
Colchester United (3594)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3709)
Swindon (3709)
|
7.9 |
| 05 FEB 2013 | EFL |
Colchester United (3560)
Colchester United (3560)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3763)
Swindon (3763)
|
5.7 |
| 02 OCT 2012 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3728)
Swindon (3728)
|
0 - 1 |
Colchester United (3601)
Colchester United (3601)
|
14.5 |
| 03 DEC 2011 | FAC |
Colchester United (3625)
Colchester United (3625)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3620)
Swindon (3620)
|
5.7 |
| 12 FEB 2011 | EFL |
Colchester United (3650)
Colchester United (3650)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
7.7 |
| 13 NOV 2010 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3681)
Swindon (3681)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3698)
Colchester United (3698)
|
9.2 |
| 10 APR 2010 | EFL |
Colchester United (3667)
Colchester United (3667)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3773)
Swindon (3773)
|
20.5 |
| 12 SEP 2009 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3668)
Swindon (3668)
|
1 - 1 |
Colchester United (3681)
Colchester United (3681)
|
0.9 |
| 10 MAR 2009 | EFL |
Colchester United (3677)
Colchester United (3677)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3607)
Swindon (3607)
|
6.7 |
| 23 AUG 2008 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3640)
Swindon (3640)
|
1 - 3 |
Colchester United (3671)
Colchester United (3671)
|
15.7 |
| 18 MAR 2006 | EFL |
Colchester United (3714)
Colchester United (3714)
|
1 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3580)
Swindon (3580)
|
5.0 |
| 26 DEC 2005 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3567)
Swindon (3567)
|
1 - 0 |
Colchester United (3711)
Colchester United (3711)
|
12.5 |
| 01 JAN 2005 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3687)
Swindon (3687)
|
0 - 3 |
Colchester United (3640)
Colchester United (3640)
|
22.7 |
| 04 SEP 2004 | EFL |
Colchester United (3674)
Colchester United (3674)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3705)
Swindon (3705)
|
10.8 |
| 17 JAN 2004 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3648)
Swindon (3648)
|
2 - 0 | 
Colchester United (3641)
Colchester United (3641)
|
12.2 |
| 15 AUG 2003 | EFL |
Colchester United (3620)
Colchester United (3620)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3628)
Swindon (3628)
|
11.5 |
| 29 MAR 2003 | EFL |
Colchester United (3620)
Colchester United (3620)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3622)
Swindon (3622)
|
8.2 |
| 12 OCT 2002 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
2 - 2 |
Colchester United (3548)
Colchester United (3548)
|
2.6 |
| 30 JAN 2002 | EFL |
Colchester United (3586)
Colchester United (3586)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3600)
Swindon (3600)
|
17.2 |
| 01 SEP 2001 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3605)
Swindon (3605)
|
1 - 0 |
Colchester United (3656)
Colchester United (3656)
|
9.5 |
| 20 MAR 2001 | EFL |
Colchester United (3612)
Colchester United (3612)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3605)
Swindon (3605)
|
12.1 |
| 12 AUG 2000 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3661)
Swindon (3661)
|
0 - 0 |
Colchester United (3558)
Colchester United (3558)
|
4.5 |
| 28 MAR 1986 | EFL | 
Colchester United (3460)
Colchester United (3460)
|
1 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3640)
Swindon (3640)
|
2.5 |
| 01 JAN 1986 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3475)
Colchester United (3475)
|
5.0 |
| 03 MAY 1985 | EFL |
Colchester United (3531)
Colchester United (3531)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3520)
Swindon (3520)
|
2.9 |
| 15 DEC 1984 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3446)
Swindon (3446)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3494)
Colchester United (3494)
|
8.7 |
| 25 FEB 1984 | EFL |
Colchester United (3592)
Colchester United (3592)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3519)
Swindon (3519)
|
4.4 |
| 22 OCT 1983 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3470)
Swindon (3470)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3564)
Colchester United (3564)
|
10.1 |
| 18 FEB 1983 | EFL |
Colchester United (3531)
Colchester United (3531)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3584)
Swindon (3584)
|
8.9 |
| 10 OCT 1982 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3572)
Swindon (3572)
|
3 - 0 |
Colchester United (3576)
Colchester United (3576)
|
13.2 |
| 11 APR 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
3 - 0 | 
Colchester United (3595)
Colchester United (3595)
|
10.1 |
| 08 NOV 1980 | EFL |
Colchester United (3623)
Colchester United (3623)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3600)
Swindon (3600)
|
6.6 |
| 22 APR 1980 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3720)
Swindon (3720)
|
2 - 3 |
Colchester United (3682)
Colchester United (3682)
|
13.9 |
| 31 AUG 1979 | EFL |
Colchester United (3713)
Colchester United (3713)
|
2 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3734)
Swindon (3734)
|
12.3 |
| 20 MAR 1979 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3712)
Swindon (3712)
|
1 - 2 |
Colchester United (3654)
Colchester United (3654)
|
14.4 |
| 06 OCT 1978 | EFL |
Colchester United (3658)
Colchester United (3658)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3670)
Swindon (3670)
|
7.4 |
| 08 APR 1978 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3676)
Swindon (3676)
|
0 - 0 |
Colchester United (3641)
Colchester United (3641)
|
3.8 |
| 11 NOV 1977 | EFL |
Colchester United (3652)
Colchester United (3652)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
10.6 |
| 06 APR 1976 | EFL |
Colchester United (3535)
Colchester United (3535)
|
1 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
11.5 |
| 27 SEP 1975 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3670)
Swindon (3670)
|
0 - 1 |
Colchester United (3615)
Colchester United (3615)
|
14.3 |
| 04 MAR 1975 | EFL |
Colchester United (3642)
Colchester United (3642)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3665)
Swindon (3665)
|
11.7 |
| 30 NOV 1974 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3682)
Swindon (3682)
|
4 - 1 |
Colchester United (3693)
Colchester United (3693)
|
13.1 |
| 08 SEP 1971 | LC | 
Colchester United (3556)
Colchester United (3556)
|
4 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3827)
Swindon (3827)
|
25.4 |
| 16 MAR 1968 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3751)
Swindon (3751)
|
1 - 1 | 
Colchester United (3555)
Colchester United (3555)
|
7.0 |
| 21 OCT 1967 | EFL |
Colchester United (3606)
Colchester United (3606)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3727)
Swindon (3727)
|
10.5 |
| 26 SEP 1966 | EFL |
Colchester United (3574)
Colchester United (3574)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3688)
Swindon (3688)
|
10.3 |
| 06 SEP 1966 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3716)
Swindon (3716)
|
1 - 1 |
Colchester United (3538)
Colchester United (3538)
|
6.7 |
| 06 MAY 1963 | EFL |
Colchester United (3617)
Colchester United (3617)
|
0 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3719)
Swindon (3719)
|
15.1 |
| 13 APR 1963 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3738)
Swindon (3738)
|
6 - 1 |
Colchester United (3559)
Colchester United (3559)
|
6.5 |
| 01 APR 1961 | EFL |
Colchester United (3517)
Colchester United (3517)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3578)
Swindon (3578)
|
13.2 |
| 12 NOV 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3618)
Swindon (3618)
|
0 - 2 |
Colchester United (3563)
Colchester United (3563)
|
21.4 |
| 09 APR 1960 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3629)
Swindon (3629)
|
4 - 3 |
Colchester United (3661)
Colchester United (3661)
|
8.0 |
| 21 NOV 1959 | EFL |
Colchester United (3625)
Colchester United (3625)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3582)
Swindon (3582)
|
4.0 |
| 28 MAR 1959 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3574)
Swindon (3574)
|
2 - 0 |
Colchester United (3627)
Colchester United (3627)
|
12.8 |
| 08 NOV 1958 | EFL |
Colchester United (3604)
Colchester United (3604)
|
1 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3669)
Swindon (3669)
|
8.9 |
| 15 MAR 1958 | EFL |
Colchester United (3627)
Colchester United (3627)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3607)
Swindon (3607)
|
20.2 |
| 02 NOV 1957 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3577)
Swindon (3577)
|
4 - 0 |
Colchester United (3619)
Colchester United (3619)
|
15.3 |
| 27 APR 1957 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3485)
Swindon (3485)
|
4 - 1 |
Colchester United (3655)
Colchester United (3655)
|
20.6 |
| 30 MAR 1957 | EFL |
Colchester United (3688)
Colchester United (3688)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3452)
Swindon (3452)
|
7.6 |
| 03 MAR 1956 | EFL |
Colchester United (3570)
Colchester United (3570)
|
5 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3490)
Swindon (3490)
|
10.2 |
| 22 OCT 1955 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3427)
Swindon (3427)
|
3 - 1 |
Colchester United (3462)
Colchester United (3462)
|
11.9 |
| 18 DEC 1954 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3504)
Swindon (3504)
|
1 - 1 |
Colchester United (3422)
Colchester United (3422)
|
5.0 |
| 21 AUG 1954 | EFL |
Colchester United (3464)
Colchester United (3464)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3538)
Swindon (3538)
|
0.9 |
| 06 FEB 1954 | EFL |
Colchester United (3472)
Colchester United (3472)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3520)
Swindon (3520)
|
1.6 |
| 19 SEP 1953 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3591)
Swindon (3591)
|
3 - 0 |
Colchester United (3528)
Colchester United (3528)
|
9.6 |
| 17 JAN 1953 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3560)
Swindon (3560)
|
0 - 1 |
Colchester United (3566)
Colchester United (3566)
|
12.7 |
| 06 SEP 1952 | EFL |
Colchester United (3579)
Colchester United (3579)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
10.4 |
| 29 DEC 1951 | EFL |
Colchester United (3599)
Colchester United (3599)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3607)
Swindon (3607)
|
11.3 |
| 01 SEP 1951 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3581)
Swindon (3581)
|
2 - 1 |
Colchester United (3527)
Colchester United (3527)
|
5.9 |
| 31 AUG 1950 | EFL |
Colchester United (3574)
Colchester United (3574)
|
4 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3597)
Swindon (3597)
|
13.9 |
| 23 AUG 1950 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3591)
Swindon (3591)
|
1 - 1 |
Colchester United (3572)
Colchester United (3572)
|
3.1 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3545) and Colchester United (3547).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 AUG 2018 | EFL | 
Carlisle United (3545)
Carlisle United (3545)
|
2 - 2 | 
Northampton Town (3547)
Northampton Town (3547)
|
1.1 |
| 01 OCT 1994 | EFL | 
Barnet (3547)
Barnet (3547)
|
0 - 0 | 
Fulham (3545)
Fulham (3545)
|
2.0 |