This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
A historical overview of Colwyn Bay's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Colwyn Bay sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Saturday October 18th, 2014 | 3,153.53 |
| 2013 | Saturday December 28th, 2013 | 3,131.36 |
| 2012 | Tuesday February 7th, 2012 | 3,128.99 |
| 2015 | Thursday January 1st, 2015 | 3,106.52 |
| 2011 | Saturday December 3rd, 2011 | 3,102.30 |
| 2010 | Tuesday October 5th, 2010 | 3,006.48 |
| 2016 | Saturday January 2nd, 2016 | 2,950.94 |
A list of the worst 15 Colwyn Bay sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Tuesday April 12th, 2016 | 2,846.02 |
| 2015 | Monday December 28th, 2015 | 2,935.09 |
| 2010 | Tuesday August 24th, 2010 | 2,956.05 |
| 2011 | Saturday January 1st, 2011 | 2,959.56 |
| 2013 | Saturday February 9th, 2013 | 2,971.44 |
| 2012 | Saturday September 15th, 2012 | 3,021.89 |
| 2014 | Monday August 25th, 2014 | 3,095.21 |
A list of the twenty most significant victories in Colwyn Bay history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Colwyn Bay (3,033) vs. Tamworth (3,285) Saturday March 14th, 2015 |
22.87% | 2-0 | +23.1 |
|
Brackley Town (3,233) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,991) Tuesday April 16th, 2013 |
16.20% | 1-3 | +25.1 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,976) vs. Gainsborough Trinity (3,200) Saturday April 13th, 2013 |
26.04% | 1-0 | +14.8 |
|
Harrogate Town (3,205) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,995) Tuesday March 5th, 2013 |
18.97% | 1-2 | +16.2 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,063) vs. Eastwood Town (3,260) Saturday August 20th, 2011 |
29.39% | 2-0 | +21.2 |
|
Workington (3,129) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,935) Saturday January 2nd, 2016 |
20.77% | 1-2 | +15.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,070) vs. Stalybridge Celtic (3,257) Saturday October 15th, 2011 |
30.60% | 2-0 | +20.8 |
|
Stockport County (3,231) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,052) Monday August 26th, 2013 |
22.05% | 0-1 | +15.6 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,061) vs. Solihull Moors (3,230) Saturday November 2nd, 2013 |
32.30% | 3-1 | +20.3 |
|
Altrincham (3,214) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,057) Saturday January 7th, 2012 |
23.75% | 3-4 | +15.3 |
|
FC Halifax Town (3,216) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,068) Tuesday August 21st, 2012 |
25.02% | 0-1 | +15.0 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,846) vs. Sutton Coldfield Town (2,986) Saturday April 16th, 2016 |
35.80% | 3-0 | +22.5 |
|
North Ferriby United (3,234) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,098) Saturday December 21st, 2013 |
26.61% | 2-3 | +14.7 |
|
Bradford (Park Avenue) (3,178) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,047) Monday April 22nd, 2013 |
26.87% | 1-2 | +14.6 |
|
North Ferriby United (3,200) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,070) Saturday April 11th, 2015 |
27.28% | 2-4 | +21.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,960) vs. FC Halifax Town (3,088) Monday January 3rd, 2011 |
38.21% | 2-1 | +12.4 |
|
Stalybridge Celtic (3,214) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,092) Saturday January 28th, 2012 |
27.61% | 0-4 | +27.1 |
|
North Ferriby United (3,076) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,957) Saturday August 21st, 2010 |
28.06% | 1-3 | +21.6 |
|
Oxford City (3,139) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,028) Saturday November 3rd, 2012 |
29.19% | 1-2 | +14.2 |
|
Harrogate Town (3,167) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,057) Saturday March 21st, 2015 |
29.60% | 0-2 | +21.1 |
A list of the twenty most significant defeats in Colwyn Bay history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Win % | Score | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|
|
Colwyn Bay (3,006) vs. Northwich Victoria (2,856) Saturday October 9th, 2010 |
75.49% | 0-6 | -32.1 |
|
Nantwich Town (2,884) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,031) Tuesday March 22nd, 2011 |
64.38% | 2-1 | -12.9 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,071) vs. Frickley Athletic (2,931) Saturday September 5th, 2015 |
73.56% | 0-2 | -22.1 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,105) vs. Blyth Spartans (2,986) Saturday March 3rd, 2012 |
72.03% | 0-2 | -21.6 |
|
Halesowen Town (2,989) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,102) Saturday August 15th, 2015 |
60.59% | 1-0 | -12.1 |
|
Worcester City (3,035) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,146) Saturday January 18th, 2014 |
59.95% | 2-1 | -12.0 |
|
Ashton United (2,898) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,979) Saturday January 1st, 2011 |
55.17% | 3-0 | -19.3 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,079) vs. Darlington 1883 (3,001) Saturday August 29th, 2015 |
66.11% | 2-4 | -19.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,996) vs. Droylsden (2,928) Tuesday April 9th, 2013 |
65.43% | 1-3 | -19.6 |
|
Nantwich Town (2,982) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,049) Tuesday September 8th, 2015 |
54.15% | 3-2 | -10.8 |
|
Harrogate Town (3,038) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,102) Tuesday December 6th, 2011 |
52.70% | 4-0 | -19.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,034) vs. Stocksbridge Park Steels (2,973) Saturday April 16th, 2011 |
64.76% | 3-4 | -13.0 |
|
Vauxhall Motors (3,009) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,067) Monday December 26th, 2011 |
51.84% | 1-0 | -10.4 |
|
Gainsborough Trinity (3,087) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,144) Saturday November 15th, 2014 |
52.33% | 6-3 | -18.3 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,978) vs. Ashton United (2,925) Tuesday August 24th, 2010 |
63.76% | 0-3 | -22.3 |
|
Corby Town (2,988) vs. Colwyn Bay (3,037) Saturday September 15th, 2012 |
50.94% | 3-1 | -15.3 |
|
Mickleover Sports (2,951) vs. Colwyn Bay (2,998) Saturday December 11th, 2010 |
50.26% | 4-0 | -18.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,075) vs. Hyde (3,033) Tuesday August 16th, 2011 |
62.35% | 0-1 | -12.5 |
|
Colwyn Bay (2,994) vs. Marine (2,952) Tuesday October 26th, 2010 |
62.20% | 0-3 | -21.8 |
|
Colwyn Bay (3,098) vs. Ilkeston (3,061) Saturday August 22nd, 2015 |
60.66% | 0-2 | -18.2 |
A complete listing of Colwyn Bay's fortunes against all opponents that they have played ten or more matches against - ranked from most to least successful, based on the average ELO points gained or lost in each match.
| # | Opponent | P | W | D | L | Avg ELO +/- |
|---|