This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Newport County vs. Swindon Town
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Newport County's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| Newport County | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,447.1 Wednesday February 5th, 202505 FEB 2025 |
3,503.1 Wednesday February 5th, 202505 FEB 2025 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,782.0 Monday April 4th, 198304 APR 1983 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
2,980.4 Saturday January 7th, 200607 JAN 2006 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Newport County and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Newport County wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
Newport County goals |
Swindon goals |
Newport County SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 96 | 32 | 21 | 43 | 134 | 175 | 44.3% | 55.7% |
| Home | 48 | 25 | 9 | 14 | 88 | 59 | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Away | 48 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 46 | 116 | 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 JAN 2025 | EFL | 
Newport County (3444)
Newport County (3444)
|
1 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3465)
Swindon (3465)
|
10.5 |
| 14 SEP 2024 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3440)
Swindon (3440)
|
4 - 0 |
Newport County (3477)
Newport County (3477)
|
18.7 |
| 03 FEB 2024 | EFL |
Newport County (3536)
Newport County (3536)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3475)
Swindon (3475)
|
7.3 |
| 14 OCT 2023 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3546)
Swindon (3546)
|
2 - 0 |
Newport County (3497)
Newport County (3497)
|
11.3 |
| 04 FEB 2023 | EFL |
Newport County (3490)
Newport County (3490)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
11.2 |
| 04 OCT 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
1 - 0 |
Newport County (3510)
Newport County (3510)
|
6.9 |
| 09 APR 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3559)
Swindon (3559)
|
0 - 1 |
Newport County (3567)
Newport County (3567)
|
10.9 |
| 20 NOV 2021 | EFL |
Newport County (3568)
Newport County (3568)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3582)
Swindon (3582)
|
10.7 |
| 18 JAN 2020 | EFL |
Newport County (3538)
Newport County (3538)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3609)
Swindon (3609)
|
16.4 |
| 28 SEP 2019 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3560)
Swindon (3560)
|
0 - 2 |
Newport County (3581)
Newport County (3581)
|
15.8 |
| 09 APR 2019 | EFL |
Newport County (3519)
Newport County (3519)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3540)
Swindon (3540)
|
0.6 |
| 08 DEC 2018 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3494)
Swindon (3494)
|
2 - 1 |
Newport County (3531)
Newport County (3531)
|
9.9 |
| 14 APR 2018 | EFL |
Newport County (3496)
Newport County (3496)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3527)
Swindon (3527)
|
9.8 |
| 25 NOV 2017 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
0 - 1 |
Newport County (3487)
Newport County (3487)
|
13.5 |
| 25 JAN 1987 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3727)
Swindon (3727)
|
3 - 0 | 
Newport County (3524)
Newport County (3524)
|
5.5 |
| 06 SEP 1986 | EFL |
Newport County (3570)
Newport County (3570)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3676)
Swindon (3676)
|
0.5 |
| 18 MAY 1982 | EFL |
Newport County (3623)
Newport County (3623)
|
1 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3582)
Swindon (3582)
|
6.2 |
| 08 MAY 1982 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3594)
Swindon (3594)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3602)
Newport County (3602)
|
2.5 |
| 20 APR 1981 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3664)
Swindon (3664)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3617)
Newport County (3617)
|
4.0 |
| 26 DEC 1980 | EFL |
Newport County (3592)
Newport County (3592)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3592)
Swindon (3592)
|
19.2 |
| 25 NOV 1975 | FAC | 
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
3 - 0 | 
Newport County (3489)
Newport County (3489)
|
7.4 |
| 22 NOV 1975 | FAC |
Newport County (3488)
Newport County (3488)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
0.6 |
| 04 SEP 1973 | LC |
Newport County (3588)
Newport County (3588)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3767)
Swindon (3767)
|
7.8 |
| 28 AUG 1973 | LC |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
3 - 3 |
Newport County (3580)
Newport County (3580)
|
6.9 |
| 29 AUG 1967 | LC |
Newport County (3423)
Newport County (3423)
|
2 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3763)
Swindon (3763)
|
23.8 |
| 22 AUG 1967 | LC |
Swindon Town (3791)
Swindon (3791)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3423)
Newport County (3423)
|
8.8 |
| 21 APR 1962 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3657)
Swindon (3657)
|
3 - 0 |
Newport County (3484)
Newport County (3484)
|
5.9 |
| 02 DEC 1961 | EFL |
Newport County (3495)
Newport County (3495)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3571)
Swindon (3571)
|
0.8 |
| 25 MAR 1961 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3571)
Swindon (3571)
|
2 - 0 |
Newport County (3629)
Newport County (3629)
|
13.0 |
| 28 JAN 1961 | EFL |
Newport County (3641)
Newport County (3641)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
8.9 |
| 20 FEB 1960 | EFL |
Newport County (3635)
Newport County (3635)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3612)
Swindon (3612)
|
20.2 |
| 03 OCT 1959 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3674)
Swindon (3674)
|
1 - 0 |
Newport County (3639)
Newport County (3639)
|
6.2 |
| 07 FEB 1959 | EFL |
Newport County (3609)
Newport County (3609)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3634)
Swindon (3634)
|
13.5 |
| 20 SEP 1958 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3656)
Swindon (3656)
|
2 - 1 |
Newport County (3588)
Newport County (3588)
|
5.4 |
| 21 DEC 1957 | EFL |
Newport County (3589)
Newport County (3589)
|
4 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3611)
Swindon (3611)
|
13.3 |
| 24 AUG 1957 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3501)
Swindon (3501)
|
4 - 0 |
Newport County (3563)
Newport County (3563)
|
16.4 |
| 06 APR 1957 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3459)
Swindon (3459)
|
1 - 0 |
Newport County (3586)
Newport County (3586)
|
10.5 |
| 24 NOV 1956 | EFL |
Newport County (3584)
Newport County (3584)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3474)
Swindon (3474)
|
4.5 |
| 12 APR 1956 | EFL |
Newport County (3482)
Newport County (3482)
|
1 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3488)
Swindon (3488)
|
7.2 |
| 24 SEP 1955 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3467)
Swindon (3467)
|
1 - 2 |
Newport County (3531)
Newport County (3531)
|
11.2 |
| 11 APR 1955 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3503)
Swindon (3503)
|
1 - 3 |
Newport County (3514)
Newport County (3514)
|
19.0 |
| 08 APR 1955 | EFL |
Newport County (3531)
Newport County (3531)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3504)
Swindon (3504)
|
3.7 |
| 19 DEC 1953 | EFL |
Newport County (3487)
Newport County (3487)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3512)
Swindon (3512)
|
11.6 |
| 22 AUG 1953 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3575)
Swindon (3575)
|
7 - 1 |
Newport County (3586)
Newport County (3586)
|
15.6 |
| 14 MAR 1953 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3537)
Swindon (3537)
|
2 - 0 |
Newport County (3545)
Newport County (3545)
|
11.1 |
| 25 OCT 1952 | EFL |
Newport County (3612)
Newport County (3612)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3540)
Swindon (3540)
|
9.5 |
| 19 APR 1952 | EFL |
Newport County (3631)
Newport County (3631)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3563)
Swindon (3563)
|
4.4 |
| 01 DEC 1951 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3597)
Swindon (3597)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3633)
Newport County (3633)
|
1.7 |
| 13 JAN 1951 | EFL |
Newport County (3568)
Newport County (3568)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3573)
Swindon (3573)
|
7.5 |
| 09 SEP 1950 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3585)
Swindon (3585)
|
2 - 0 |
Newport County (3590)
Newport County (3590)
|
11.2 |
| 18 FEB 1950 | EFL |
Newport County (3554)
Newport County (3554)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3613)
Swindon (3613)
|
11.0 |
| 01 OCT 1949 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3646)
Swindon (3646)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3518)
Newport County (3518)
|
5.6 |
| 04 DEC 1948 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3588)
Swindon (3588)
|
5 - 2 |
Newport County (3536)
Newport County (3536)
|
10.3 |
| 02 OCT 1948 | EFL |
Newport County (3510)
Newport County (3510)
|
4 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3590)
Swindon (3590)
|
16.5 |
| 08 APR 1948 | EFL |
Newport County (3581)
Newport County (3581)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3645)
Swindon (3645)
|
13.0 |
| 20 SEP 1947 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
1 - 2 |
Newport County (3631)
Newport County (3631)
|
12.2 |
| 27 DEC 1938 | EFL |
Newport County (3685)
Newport County (3685)
|
6 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3639)
Swindon (3639)
|
8.0 |
| 26 DEC 1938 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3618)
Swindon (3618)
|
8 - 0 |
Newport County (3706)
Newport County (3706)
|
20.9 |
| 15 JAN 1938 | EFL |
Newport County (3547)
Newport County (3547)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3617)
Swindon (3617)
|
12.3 |
| 04 SEP 1937 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3587)
Swindon (3587)
|
3 - 2 |
Newport County (3535)
Newport County (3535)
|
5.1 |
| 06 FEB 1937 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3573)
Swindon (3573)
|
1 - 2 |
Newport County (3480)
Newport County (3480)
|
15.7 |
| 03 OCT 1936 | EFL |
Newport County (3414)
Newport County (3414)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3595)
Swindon (3595)
|
1.4 |
| 28 DEC 1935 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3540)
Swindon (3540)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3420)
Newport County (3420)
|
6.2 |
| 31 AUG 1935 | EFL |
Newport County (3416)
Newport County (3416)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3578)
Swindon (3578)
|
0.9 |
| 04 MAY 1935 | EFL |
Newport County (3425)
Newport County (3425)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3568)
Swindon (3568)
|
9.7 |
| 22 DEC 1934 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3603)
Swindon (3603)
|
0 - 0 |
Newport County (3523)
Newport County (3523)
|
5.4 |
| 24 NOV 1934 | FAC |
Swindon Town (3603)
Swindon (3603)
|
4 - 0 |
Newport County (3536)
Newport County (3536)
|
9.1 |
| 30 DEC 1933 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3561)
Swindon (3561)
|
1 - 1 |
Newport County (3502)
Newport County (3502)
|
5.0 |
| 26 AUG 1933 | EFL |
Newport County (3520)
Newport County (3520)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3501)
Swindon (3501)
|
14.1 |
| 05 SEP 1932 | EFL |
Newport County (3519)
Newport County (3519)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3541)
Swindon (3541)
|
13.0 |
| 31 AUG 1932 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3539)
Swindon (3539)
|
2 - 0 |
Newport County (3537)
Newport County (3537)
|
9.6 |
| 14 MAR 1931 | EFL |
Newport County (3478)
Newport County (3478)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3629)
Swindon (3629)
|
15.9 |
| 08 NOV 1930 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3611)
Swindon (3611)
|
4 - 4 |
Newport County (3490)
Newport County (3490)
|
6.2 |
| 09 SEP 1929 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3641)
Swindon (3641)
|
5 - 1 |
Newport County (3572)
Newport County (3572)
|
9.1 |
| 05 SEP 1929 | EFL |
Newport County (3555)
Newport County (3555)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3656)
Swindon (3656)
|
9.2 |
| 01 MAY 1929 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
5 - 2 |
Newport County (3572)
Newport County (3572)
|
8.1 |
| 15 SEP 1928 | EFL |
Newport County (3614)
Newport County (3614)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3651)
Swindon (3651)
|
12.6 |
| 27 DEC 1927 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3728)
Swindon (3728)
|
4 - 1 |
Newport County (3614)
Newport County (3614)
|
6.9 |
| 26 DEC 1927 | EFL |
Newport County (3631)
Newport County (3631)
|
1 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3711)
Swindon (3711)
|
17.1 |
| 26 NOV 1927 | FAC |
Newport County (3619)
Newport County (3619)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3671)
Swindon (3671)
|
12.2 |
| 26 MAR 1927 | EFL |
Newport County (3642)
Newport County (3642)
|
5 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3716)
Swindon (3716)
|
12.8 |
| 06 NOV 1926 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3718)
Swindon (3718)
|
3 - 1 |
Newport County (3660)
Newport County (3660)
|
7.7 |
| 06 FEB 1926 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3690)
Swindon (3690)
|
2 - 1 |
Newport County (3646)
Newport County (3646)
|
5.6 |
| 26 SEP 1925 | EFL |
Newport County (3716)
Newport County (3716)
|
0 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3679)
Swindon (3679)
|
26.8 |
| 14 MAR 1925 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3745)
Swindon (3745)
|
2 - 2 |
Newport County (3717)
Newport County (3717)
|
4.0 |
| 08 NOV 1924 | EFL |
Newport County (3645)
Newport County (3645)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3750)
Swindon (3750)
|
14.3 |
| 08 DEC 1923 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3649)
Swindon (3649)
|
3 - 0 |
Newport County (3583)
Newport County (3583)
|
9.1 |
| 01 DEC 1923 | EFL |
Newport County (3566)
Newport County (3566)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3666)
Swindon (3666)
|
16.7 |
| 06 JAN 1923 | EFL |
Newport County (3553)
Newport County (3553)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3696)
Swindon (3696)
|
0.8 |
| 30 DEC 1922 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3702)
Swindon (3702)
|
2 - 2 |
Newport County (3547)
Newport County (3547)
|
6.5 |
| 15 OCT 1921 | EFL |
Newport County (3614)
Newport County (3614)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3751)
Swindon (3751)
|
20.0 |
| 08 OCT 1921 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3747)
Swindon (3747)
|
3 - 2 |
Newport County (3618)
Newport County (3618)
|
3.9 |
| 27 NOV 1920 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3708)
Swindon (3708)
|
5 - 0 |
Newport County (3645)
Newport County (3645)
|
10.5 |
| 21 OCT 1920 | EFL |
Newport County (3595)
Newport County (3595)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3713)
Swindon (3713)
|
10.0 |
| 10 APR 1920 | STH |
Swindon Town (3665)
Swindon (3665)
|
3 - 0 |
Newport County (3612)
Newport County (3612)
|
9.5 |
| 29 NOV 1919 | STH |
Newport County (3540)
Newport County (3540)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3745)
Swindon (3745)
|
18.6 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Newport County (3447) and Swindon Town (3503).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 SEP 2024 | EFL | 
Colchester United (3447)
Colchester United (3447)
|
3 - 0 | 
Tranmere Rovers (3503)
Tranmere Rovers (3503)
|
18.4 |
| 19 NOV 2011 | EFL | 
Hereford United (3447)
Hereford United (3447)
|
2 - 3 | 
Burton Albion (3503)
Burton Albion (3503)
|
9.7 |
| 10 MAR 2009 | EFL | 
Notts County (3447)
Notts County (3447)
|
0 - 2 | 
Luton Town (3503)
Luton Town (3503)
|
14.6 |
| 02 MAR 1996 | EFL | 
Chester City (3503)
Chester (3503)
|
4 - 0 | 
Cardiff City (3447)
Cardiff City (3447)
|
12.3 |