This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of Salford City's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| Salford City | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,560.8 Wednesday September 16th, 202616 SEP 2026 |
3,558.8 Wednesday September 16th, 202616 SEP 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,605.4 Saturday October 8th, 202208 OCT 2022 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
2,990.2 Saturday August 15th, 201515 AUG 2015 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
A summary of all historical matches between Salford City and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Salford wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
Salford goals |
Swindon goals |
Salford SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Home | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Away | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 JAN 2026 | FAC |
Salford City (3596)
Salford (3596)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3601)
Swindon (3601)
|
4.5 |
| 17 JAN 2026 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3612)
Swindon (3612)
|
2 - 3 |
Salford City (3584)
Salford (3584)
|
11.9 |
| 20 SEP 2025 | EFL |
Salford City (3568)
Salford (3568)
|
3 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3587)
Swindon (3587)
|
9.5 |
| 04 MAR 2025 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3517)
Swindon (3517)
|
2 - 2 |
Salford City (3524)
Salford (3524)
|
0.9 |
| 22 OCT 2024 | EFL |
Salford City (3470)
Salford (3470)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3443)
Swindon (3443)
|
8.2 |
| 10 FEB 2024 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3468)
Swindon (3468)
|
1 - 1 |
Salford City (3514)
Salford (3514)
|
0.3 |
| 21 OCT 2023 | EFL |
Salford City (3557)
Salford (3557)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3558)
Swindon (3558)
|
1.0 |
| 18 FEB 2023 | EFL |
Salford City (3560)
Salford (3560)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3528)
Swindon (3528)
|
12.0 |
| 06 AUG 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3570)
Swindon (3570)
|
0 - 0 |
Salford City (3585)
Salford (3585)
|
0.6 |
| 26 FEB 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3581)
Swindon (3581)
|
1 - 2 |
Salford City (3559)
Salford (3559)
|
11.7 |
| 21 AUG 2021 | EFL |
Salford City (3553)
Salford (3553)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3535)
Swindon (3535)
|
11.6 |
| 16 NOV 2019 | EFL |
Salford City (3502)
Salford (3502)
|
2 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3557)
Swindon (3557)
|
9.6 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Salford City (3561) and Swindon Town (3559).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 JAN 1992 | EFL |
Rotherham United (3559)
Rotherham United (3559)
|
1 - 1 |
Mansfield Town (3561)
Mansfield Town (3561)
|
2.1 |
| 05 MAR 1977 | EFL |
Exeter City (3561)
Exeter City (3561)
|
2 - 2 |
Watford (3559)
Watford (3559)
|
3.0 |
| 02 APR 1955 | EFL |
Rochdale (3561)
Rochdale (3561)
|
2 - 1 |
Workington (3559)
Workington (3559)
|
7.0 |
| 03 APR 1948 | EFL |
Exeter City (3561)
Exeter City (3561)
|
1 - 0 |
Brighton and Hove Albion (3559)
Brighton (3559)
|
6.8 |
| 05 MAY 1934 | EFL |
Bristol City (3561)
Bristol City (3561)
|
5 - 1 |
Southend United (3559)
Southend United (3559)
|
11.9 |