This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of Rochdale's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.
| Rochdale | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,498.5 Sunday September 27th, 202627 SEP 2026 |
3,558.8 Sunday September 27th, 202627 SEP 2026 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,738.6 Saturday September 10th, 192710 SEP 1927 |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,172.9 Saturday January 11th, 191311 JAN 1913 |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
A summary of all historical matches between Rochdale and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Rochdale wins |
Draws | Swindon wins |
Rochdale goals |
Swindon goals |
Rochdale SR% |
Swindon SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 56 | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Home | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| Away | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 15.4% | 84.6% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 MAR 2023 | EFL |
Rochdale (3392)
Rochdale (3392)
|
4 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3543)
Swindon (3543)
|
3.2 |
| 20 AUG 2022 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3557)
Swindon (3557)
|
3 - 0 |
Rochdale (3471)
Rochdale (3471)
|
11.5 |
| 02 APR 2022 | EFL |
Rochdale (3491)
Rochdale (3491)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3560)
Swindon (3560)
|
0.9 |
| 16 OCT 2021 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3573)
Swindon (3573)
|
2 - 2 |
Rochdale (3561)
Rochdale (3561)
|
1.4 |
| 13 APR 2021 | EFL |
Rochdale (3541)
Rochdale (3541)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3540)
Swindon (3540)
|
8.9 |
| 12 SEP 2020 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3598)
Swindon (3598)
|
3 - 1 |
Rochdale (3601)
Rochdale (3601)
|
13.5 |
| 19 NOV 2016 | EFL |
Rochdale (3658)
Rochdale (3658)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3612)
Swindon (3612)
|
14.4 |
| 18 OCT 2016 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3608)
Swindon (3608)
|
3 - 0 |
Rochdale (3703)
Rochdale (3703)
|
20.5 |
| 30 APR 2016 | EFL |
Rochdale (3669)
Rochdale (3669)
|
2 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3621)
Swindon (3621)
|
2.4 |
| 12 DEC 2015 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3629)
Swindon (3629)
|
2 - 1 |
Rochdale (3634)
Rochdale (3634)
|
9.1 |
| 07 NOV 2015 | FAC |
Rochdale (3631)
Rochdale (3631)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3609)
Swindon (3609)
|
6.2 |
| 14 APR 2015 | EFL |
Rochdale (3659)
Rochdale (3659)
|
2 - 4 |
Swindon Town (3718)
Swindon (3718)
|
14.2 |
| 21 OCT 2014 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3731)
Swindon (3731)
|
2 - 3 |
Rochdale (3629)
Rochdale (3629)
|
13.9 |
| 05 FEB 2011 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3627)
Swindon (3627)
|
1 - 1 |
Rochdale (3628)
Rochdale (3628)
|
1.3 |
| 20 NOV 2010 | EFL |
Rochdale (3586)
Rochdale (3586)
|
3 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3691)
Swindon (3691)
|
1.7 |
| 03 APR 2007 | EFL |
Rochdale (3571)
Rochdale (3571)
|
0 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3620)
Swindon (3620)
|
0.1 |
| 12 AUG 2006 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3594)
Swindon (3594)
|
1 - 0 |
Rochdale (3462)
Rochdale (3462)
|
5.2 |
| 08 MAR 1986 | EFL |
Rochdale (3432)
Rochdale (3432)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3625)
Swindon (3625)
|
7.1 |
| 05 OCT 1985 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3461)
Swindon (3461)
|
4 - 0 |
Rochdale (3433)
Rochdale (3433)
|
12.6 |
| 23 FEB 1985 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3447)
Swindon (3447)
|
2 - 1 |
Rochdale (3377)
Rochdale (3377)
|
5.6 |
| 03 NOV 1984 | EFL |
Rochdale (3322)
Rochdale (3322)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3474)
Swindon (3474)
|
8.3 |
| 04 FEB 1984 | EFL |
Rochdale (3385)
Rochdale (3385)
|
3 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3515)
Swindon (3515)
|
1.1 |
| 01 OCT 1983 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3477)
Swindon (3477)
|
2 - 1 |
Rochdale (3393)
Rochdale (3393)
|
5.3 |
| 22 JAN 1983 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3608)
Swindon (3608)
|
4 - 1 |
Rochdale (3405)
Rochdale (3405)
|
5.4 |
| 18 SEP 1982 | EFL |
Rochdale (3405)
Rochdale (3405)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3560)
Swindon (3560)
|
1.8 |
| 17 SEP 1958 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3652)
Swindon (3652)
|
2 - 1 |
Rochdale (3513)
Rochdale (3513)
|
3.9 |
| 10 SEP 1958 | EFL |
Rochdale (3502)
Rochdale (3502)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3663)
Swindon (3663)
|
1.6 |
| 11 JAN 1913 | FAC |
Rochdale (3175)
Rochdale (3175)
|
0 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3744)
Swindon (3744)
|
2.1 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Rochdale (3498) and Swindon Town (3559).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 NOV 2006 | W-NATL |
AFC Wimbledon Ladies (3559)
AFC Wimbledon Ladies (3559)
|
1 - 0 |
Southampton Saints Ladies (3498)
Southampton Saints LFC (3498)
|
7.6 |
| 31 OCT 1936 | EFL |
York City (3498)
York City (3498)
|
3 - 4 |
Wrexham (3559)
Wrexham (3559)
|
12.0 |