Stat Attack

ELO Head-to-Head

This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

Choose a different matchup:
vs.

Rochdale vs. Swindon Town

Head-to-Head

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.

ELO Score History Comparison

A historical comparison of Rochdale's and Swindon Town's ELO scores.

Rochdale Swindon Town
Current ELO Score 3,498.5
Sunday September 27th, 202627 SEP 2026
3,558.8
Sunday September 27th, 202627 SEP 2026
Best ELO Score 3,738.6
Saturday September 10th, 192710 SEP 1927
3,900.4
Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990
Worst ELO Score 3,172.9
Saturday January 11th, 191311 JAN 1913
3,167.9
Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887

Past Matches

A summary of all historical matches between Rochdale and Swindon Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.

Venue Played Rochdale
wins
Draws Swindon
wins
Rochdale
goals
Swindon
goals
Rochdale
SR%
Swindon
SR%
TOTAL 28 4 10 14 38 56 32.1% 67.9%
Home 15 3 8 4 26 25 46.7% 53.3%
Away 13 1 2 10 12 31 15.4% 84.6%
Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
18 MAR 2023 EFL Rochdale (3392) Rochdale (3392) 4 - 4 Swindon Town (3543) Swindon (3543) 3.2
20 AUG 2022 EFL Swindon Town (3557) Swindon (3557) 3 - 0 Rochdale (3471) Rochdale (3471) 11.5
02 APR 2022 EFL Rochdale (3491) Rochdale (3491) 0 - 0 Swindon Town (3560) Swindon (3560) 0.9
16 OCT 2021 EFL Swindon Town (3573) Swindon (3573) 2 - 2 Rochdale (3561) Rochdale (3561) 1.4
13 APR 2021 EFL Rochdale (3541) Rochdale (3541) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3540) Swindon (3540) 8.9
12 SEP 2020 EFL Swindon Town (3598) Swindon (3598) 3 - 1 Rochdale (3601) Rochdale (3601) 13.5
19 NOV 2016 EFL Rochdale (3658) Rochdale (3658) 4 - 0 Swindon Town (3612) Swindon (3612) 14.4
18 OCT 2016 EFL Swindon Town (3608) Swindon (3608) 3 - 0 Rochdale (3703) Rochdale (3703) 20.5
30 APR 2016 EFL Rochdale (3669) Rochdale (3669) 2 - 2 Swindon Town (3621) Swindon (3621) 2.4
12 DEC 2015 EFL Swindon Town (3629) Swindon (3629) 2 - 1 Rochdale (3634) Rochdale (3634) 9.1
07 NOV 2015 FAC Rochdale (3631) Rochdale (3631) 3 - 1 Swindon Town (3609) Swindon (3609) 6.2
14 APR 2015 EFL Rochdale (3659) Rochdale (3659) 2 - 4 Swindon Town (3718) Swindon (3718) 14.2
21 OCT 2014 EFL Swindon Town (3731) Swindon (3731) 2 - 3 Rochdale (3629) Rochdale (3629) 13.9
05 FEB 2011 EFL Swindon Town (3627) Swindon (3627) 1 - 1 Rochdale (3628) Rochdale (3628) 1.3
20 NOV 2010 EFL Rochdale (3586) Rochdale (3586) 3 - 3 Swindon Town (3691) Swindon (3691) 1.7
03 APR 2007 EFL Rochdale (3571) Rochdale (3571) 0 - 0 Swindon Town (3620) Swindon (3620) 0.1
12 AUG 2006 EFL Swindon Town (3594) Swindon (3594) 1 - 0 Rochdale (3462) Rochdale (3462) 5.2
08 MAR 1986 EFL Rochdale (3432) Rochdale (3432) 1 - 2 Swindon Town (3625) Swindon (3625) 7.1
05 OCT 1985 EFL Swindon Town (3461) Swindon (3461) 4 - 0 Rochdale (3433) Rochdale (3433) 12.6
23 FEB 1985 EFL Swindon Town (3447) Swindon (3447) 2 - 1 Rochdale (3377) Rochdale (3377) 5.6
03 NOV 1984 EFL Rochdale (3322) Rochdale (3322) 0 - 1 Swindon Town (3474) Swindon (3474) 8.3
04 FEB 1984 EFL Rochdale (3385) Rochdale (3385) 3 - 3 Swindon Town (3515) Swindon (3515) 1.1
01 OCT 1983 EFL Swindon Town (3477) Swindon (3477) 2 - 1 Rochdale (3393) Rochdale (3393) 5.3
22 JAN 1983 EFL Swindon Town (3608) Swindon (3608) 4 - 1 Rochdale (3405) Rochdale (3405) 5.4
18 SEP 1982 EFL Rochdale (3405) Rochdale (3405) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3560) Swindon (3560) 1.8
17 SEP 1958 EFL Swindon Town (3652) Swindon (3652) 2 - 1 Rochdale (3513) Rochdale (3513) 3.9
10 SEP 1958 EFL Rochdale (3502) Rochdale (3502) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3663) Swindon (3663) 1.6
11 JAN 1913 FAC Rochdale (3175) Rochdale (3175) 0 - 2 Swindon Town (3744) Swindon (3744) 2.1

Identical Matchups

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Rochdale (3498) and Swindon Town (3559).

Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
26 NOV 2006 W-NATL AFC Wimbledon Ladies (3559) AFC Wimbledon Ladies (3559) 1 - 0 Southampton Saints Ladies (3498) Southampton Saints LFC (3498) 7.6
31 OCT 1936 EFL York City (3498) York City (3498) 3 - 4 Wrexham (3559) Wrexham (3559) 12.0