Stat Attack

ELO Head-to-Head

This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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Swindon Town vs. Cheltenham Town

Head-to-Head

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.

The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.

ELO Score History Comparison

A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Cheltenham Town's ELO scores.

Swindon Town Cheltenham Town
Current ELO Score 3,541.0
Sunday August 16th, 202616 AUG 2026
3,447.9
Sunday August 16th, 202616 AUG 2026
Best ELO Score 3,900.4
Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990
3,649.5
Saturday November 27th, 202127 NOV 2021
Worst ELO Score 3,167.9
Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887
3,135.7
Saturday November 23rd, 197423 NOV 1974

Past Matches

A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Cheltenham Town, which have been included in ELO calculations.

Venue Played Swindon
wins
Draws Cheltenham Town
wins
Swindon
goals
Cheltenham Town
goals
Swindon
SR%
Cheltenham Town
SR%
TOTAL 20 4 6 10 21 34 35.0% 65.0%
Home 9 2 3 4 9 13 38.9% 61.1%
Away 11 2 3 6 12 21 31.8% 68.2%
Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
29 DEC 2025 EFL Cheltenham Town (3490) Cheltenham Town (3490) 0 - 2 Swindon Town (3590) Swindon (3590) 12.3
09 DEC 2025 EFL Swindon Town (3598) Swindon (3598) 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town (3455) Cheltenham Town (3455) 14.8
15 MAR 2025 EFL Swindon Town (3519) Swindon (3519) 3 - 3 Cheltenham Town (3531) Cheltenham Town (3531) 0.7
12 OCT 2024 EFL Cheltenham Town (3512) Cheltenham Town (3512) 2 - 3 Swindon Town (3437) Swindon (3437) 13.1
19 NOV 2019 FAC Swindon Town (3567) Swindon (3567) 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town (3566) Cheltenham Town (3566) 5.6
09 NOV 2019 FAC Cheltenham Town (3566) Cheltenham Town (3566) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3556) Swindon (3556) 0.7
24 AUG 2019 EFL Cheltenham Town (3511) Cheltenham Town (3511) 2 - 2 Swindon Town (3536) Swindon (3536) 0.4
27 APR 2019 EFL Cheltenham Town (3494) Cheltenham Town (3494) 3 - 2 Swindon Town (3529) Swindon (3529) 9.8
22 DEC 2018 EFL Swindon Town (3494) Swindon (3494) 0 - 0 Cheltenham Town (3449) Cheltenham Town (3449) 2.4
10 MAR 2018 EFL Swindon Town (3554) Swindon (3554) 0 - 3 Cheltenham Town (3469) Cheltenham Town (3469) 23.5
07 OCT 2017 EFL Cheltenham Town (3489) Cheltenham Town (3489) 2 - 1 Swindon Town (3562) Swindon (3562) 11.0
08 NOV 2014 FAC Cheltenham Town (3481) Cheltenham Town (3481) 5 - 0 Swindon Town (3731) Swindon (3731) 15.4
10 MAR 2012 EFL Swindon Town (3695) Swindon (3695) 1 - 0 Cheltenham Town (3560) Cheltenham Town (3560) 5.2
13 AUG 2011 EFL Cheltenham Town (3405) Cheltenham Town (3405) 1 - 0 Swindon Town (3575) Swindon (3575) 13.5
03 MAR 2009 EFL Swindon Town (3608) Swindon (3608) 2 - 2 Cheltenham Town (3485) Cheltenham Town (3485) 4.5
16 AUG 2008 EFL Cheltenham Town (3577) Cheltenham Town (3577) 2 - 0 Swindon Town (3657) Swindon (3657) 16.4
12 FEB 2008 EFL Swindon Town (3646) Swindon (3646) 3 - 0 Cheltenham Town (3583) Cheltenham Town (3583) 12.1
25 AUG 2007 EFL Cheltenham Town (3610) Cheltenham Town (3610) 1 - 1 Swindon Town (3632) Swindon (3632) 0.8
12 MAR 2003 EFL Swindon Town (3639) Swindon (3639) 0 - 3 Cheltenham Town (3563) Cheltenham Town (3563) 24.2
17 SEP 2002 EFL Cheltenham Town (3579) Cheltenham Town (3579) 2 - 0 Swindon Town (3595) Swindon (3595) 12.9

Identical Matchups

A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3541) and Cheltenham Town (3448).

Date Comp. Home Team Score Away Team ELO +/-
06 OCT 1990 EFL Hartlepool United (3448) Hartlepool United (3448) 1 - 0 Maidstone United (3541) Maidstone United (3541) 10.5
03 NOV 1984 EFL Peterborough United (3541) Peterborough United (3541) 2 - 1 Crewe Alexandra (3448) Crewe Alexandra (3448) 5.1
27 DEC 1969 EFL Darlington (3448) Darlington (3448) 1 - 2 Brentford (3541) Brentford (3541) 10.4