This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
Swindon Town vs. Bolton Wanderers
Head-to-Head
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
ELO Score History Comparison
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Bolton Wanderers's ELO scores.
| Swindon Town | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score |
3,598.1 Sunday December 7th, 202507 DEC 2025 |
3,704.5 Sunday December 7th, 202507 DEC 2025 |
| Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
4,111.3 Saturday December 17th, 200517 DEC 2005 |
| Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,170.7 Saturday October 22nd, 188122 OCT 1881 |
Past Matches
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Bolton Wanderers, which have been included in ELO calculations.
| Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Bolton wins |
Swindon goals |
Bolton goals |
Swindon SR% |
Bolton SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Home | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 24 | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Away | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 DEC 2025 | FAC | 
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
4 - 0 | 
Bolton Wanderers (3716)
Bolton (3716)
|
11.8 |
| 14 JAN 2017 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3754)
Bolton (3754)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3586)
Swindon (3586)
|
15.3 |
| 08 OCT 2016 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3616)
Swindon (3616)
|
0 - 1 |
Bolton Wanderers (3655)
Bolton (3655)
|
9.9 |
| 30 OCT 1999 | EFL | 
Bolton Wanderers (3863)
Bolton (3863)
|
2 - 0 | 
Swindon Town (3670)
Swindon (3670)
|
5.5 |
| 02 OCT 1999 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3678)
Swindon (3678)
|
0 - 4 |
Bolton Wanderers (3862)
Bolton (3862)
|
12.7 |
| 06 MAR 1999 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3714)
Swindon (3714)
|
3 - 3 |
Bolton Wanderers (3908)
Bolton (3908)
|
3.5 |
| 29 SEP 1998 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3946)
Bolton (3946)
|
2 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3663)
Swindon (3663)
|
2.3 |
| 08 MAR 1997 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3931)
Bolton (3931)
|
7 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3813)
Swindon (3813)
|
11.6 |
| 22 DEC 1996 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3797)
Swindon (3797)
|
2 - 2 |
Bolton Wanderers (3896)
Bolton (3896)
|
1.0 |
| 05 APR 1995 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3735)
Swindon (3735)
|
0 - 1 |
Bolton Wanderers (3892)
Bolton (3892)
|
7.5 |
| 08 MAR 1995 | LC |
Bolton Wanderers (3875)
Bolton (3875)
|
3 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3751)
Swindon (3751)
|
7.4 |
| 12 FEB 1995 | LC |
Swindon Town (3785)
Swindon (3785)
|
2 - 1 |
Bolton Wanderers (3883)
Bolton (3883)
|
10.8 |
| 01 NOV 1994 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3829)
Bolton (3829)
|
3 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3802)
Swindon (3802)
|
12.8 |
| 21 NOV 1989 | LC | 
Swindon Town (3875)
Swindon (3875)
|
2 - 1 | 
Bolton Wanderers (3694)
Bolton (3694)
|
3.7 |
| 14 NOV 1989 | LC |
Bolton Wanderers (3701)
Bolton (3701)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3897)
Swindon (3897)
|
3.3 |
| 07 NOV 1989 | LC |
Bolton Wanderers (3696)
Bolton (3696)
|
1 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3885)
Swindon (3885)
|
3.1 |
| 24 OCT 1989 | LC |
Swindon Town (3874)
Swindon (3874)
|
3 - 3 |
Bolton Wanderers (3683)
Bolton (3683)
|
6.5 |
| 24 MAR 1987 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3774)
Swindon (3774)
|
2 - 0 |
Bolton Wanderers (3578)
Bolton (3578)
|
4.9 |
| 23 AUG 1986 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3569)
Bolton (3569)
|
1 - 2 |
Swindon Town (3674)
Swindon (3674)
|
9.5 |
| 03 FEB 1974 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3682)
Swindon (3682)
|
2 - 2 |
Bolton Wanderers (3783)
Bolton (3783)
|
0.1 |
| 15 DEC 1973 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3746)
Bolton (3746)
|
2 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3702)
Swindon (3702)
|
9.0 |
| 06 FEB 1971 | EFL | 
Swindon Town (3889)
Swindon (3889)
|
3 - 1 | 
Bolton Wanderers (3675)
Bolton (3675)
|
4.1 |
| 05 DEC 1970 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3730)
Bolton (3730)
|
0 - 3 |
Swindon Town (3849)
Swindon (3849)
|
16.8 |
| 31 JAN 1970 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3861)
Swindon (3861)
|
3 - 2 |
Bolton Wanderers (3733)
Bolton (3733)
|
4.1 |
| 04 OCT 1969 | EFL |
Bolton Wanderers (3737)
Bolton (3737)
|
0 - 1 |
Swindon Town (3820)
Swindon (3820)
|
10.6 |
| 26 MAR 1965 | EFL | 
Bolton Wanderers (3920)
Bolton (3920)
|
1 - 1 | 
Swindon Town (3719)
Swindon (3719)
|
7.0 |
| 14 NOV 1964 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3720)
Swindon (3720)
|
1 - 3 |
Bolton Wanderers (3865)
Bolton (3865)
|
13.2 |
| 31 JAN 1914 | FAC | 
Bolton Wanderers (4026)
Bolton (4026)
|
4 - 2 | 
Swindon Town (3826)
Swindon (3826)
|
4.1 |
Identical Matchups
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3598) and Bolton Wanderers (3705).
| Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 OCT 2008 | EFL |
Swindon Town (3598)
Swindon (3598)
|
2 - 1 | 
Northampton Town (3705)
Northampton Town (3705)
|
11.7 |
| 13 APR 1998 | EFL | 
Fulham (3705)
Fulham (3705)
|
5 - 0 | 
Carlisle United (3598)
Carlisle United (3598)
|
10.9 |
| 09 SEP 1966 | EFL | 
Orient (3598)
Orient (3598)
|
0 - 1 | 
Gillingham (3705)
Gillingham (3705)
|
9.9 |
| 30 SEP 1948 | EFL | 
Swansea Town (3705)
Swansea Town (3705)
|
4 - 0 |
Swindon Town (3598)
Swindon (3598)
|
8.8 |
| 28 APR 1924 | EFL | 
Norwich City (3598)
Norwich City (3598)
|
2 - 0 |
Swansea Town (3705)
Swansea Town (3705)
|
14.6 |
| 14 FEB 1920 | EFL | 
Wolverhampton Wanderers (3705)
Wolves (3705)
|
2 - 0 | 
Coventry City (3598)
Coventry City (3598)
|
6.4 |