This page projects the likelihood of match outcomes based on ELO scores, and compares the ELO history of the selected clubs.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score variation.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games.
The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in home and away games.
A historical comparison of Swindon Town's and Port Vale's ELO scores.
Swindon Town | Port Vale | |
---|---|---|
Current ELO Score |
3,492.7 Sunday February 16th, 202516 FEB 2025 |
3,561.2 Sunday February 16th, 202516 FEB 2025 |
Best ELO Score |
3,900.4 Tuesday August 28th, 199028 AUG 1990 |
3,878.0 Saturday December 24th, 192724 DEC 1927 |
Worst ELO Score |
3,167.9 Saturday October 8th, 188708 OCT 1887 |
3,186.8 Saturday October 24th, 188524 OCT 1885 |
A summary of all historical matches between Swindon Town and Port Vale, which have been included in ELO calculations.
Venue | Played | Swindon wins |
Draws | Port Vale wins |
Swindon goals |
Port Vale goals |
Swindon SR% |
Port Vale SR% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TOTAL | 92 | 37 | 21 | 34 | 130 | 120 | 51.6% | 48.4% |
Home | 46 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 81 | 40 | 68.5% | 31.5% |
Away | 46 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 49 | 80 | 34.8% | 65.2% |
Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
08 FEB 2025 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 3 | ![]() |
0.3 |
28 SEP 2024 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
6.8 |
19 MAY 2022 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
9.4 |
15 MAY 2022 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.9 |
15 JAN 2022 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 3 | ![]() |
16.8 |
11 SEP 2021 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 2 | ![]() |
12.3 |
25 JAN 2020 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
11.3 |
29 DEC 2019 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
18.5 |
16 MAR 2019 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
3.4 |
24 NOV 2018 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
10.5 |
17 FEB 2018 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 2 | ![]() |
6.9 |
28 OCT 2017 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 3 | ![]() |
16.6 |
11 MAR 2017 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 2 | ![]() |
9.1 |
20 AUG 2016 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
9.4 |
02 FEB 2016 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
9.5 |
18 AUG 2015 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
3.8 |
14 MAR 2015 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
8.8 |
28 DEC 2014 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
5.4 |
08 FEB 2014 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 3 | ![]() |
9.9 |
02 NOV 2013 | EFL | ![]() |
5 - 2 | ![]() |
10.8 |
28 APR 2012 | EFL | ![]() |
5 - 0 | ![]() |
10.0 |
05 NOV 2011 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 2 | ![]() |
15.1 |
19 APR 2008 | EFL | ![]() |
6 - 0 | ![]() |
13.8 |
27 OCT 2007 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
11.4 |
19 NOV 2005 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
2.8 |
08 OCT 2005 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 2 | ![]() |
10.1 |
23 FEB 2005 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
6.1 |
19 OCT 2004 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
10.7 |
30 MAR 2004 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 3 | ![]() |
0.3 |
25 OCT 2003 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
2.0 |
22 FEB 2003 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
0.2 |
07 SEP 2002 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 2 | ![]() |
13.0 |
02 MAR 2002 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
16.6 |
18 SEP 2001 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 2 | ![]() |
18.8 |
13 JAN 2001 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
11.6 |
28 AUG 2000 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
12.9 |
26 OCT 1999 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.6 |
25 SEP 1999 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
11.7 |
16 JAN 1999 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
11.3 |
29 AUG 1998 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
0.3 |
17 FEB 1998 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
12.6 |
04 OCT 1997 | EFL | ![]() |
4 - 2 | ![]() |
15.9 |
22 MAR 1997 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
8.1 |
24 AUG 1996 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
2.4 |
17 DEC 1994 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
2.4 |
14 AUG 1994 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
11.8 |
04 APR 1992 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
5.0 |
07 SEP 1991 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
2.0 |
11 MAY 1991 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 1 | ![]() |
11.6 |
03 NOV 1990 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 2 | ![]() |
13.4 |
03 MAR 1990 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
11.3 |
18 NOV 1989 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
18.6 |
17 MAR 1987 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
4.0 |
21 OCT 1986 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 4 | ![]() |
10.3 |
23 MAR 1986 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
4.3 |
26 OCT 1985 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
12.2 |
09 MAR 1985 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
8.4 |
20 OCT 1984 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
10.6 |
15 JAN 1983 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
15.3 |
28 AUG 1982 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
5.7 |
11 MAR 1978 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
10.6 |
15 OCT 1977 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
4.5 |
22 JAN 1977 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
2.4 |
21 AUG 1976 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
7.1 |
17 JAN 1976 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.3 |
20 SEP 1975 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 0 | ![]() |
15.4 |
22 APR 1975 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 2 | ![]() |
6.8 |
24 AUG 1974 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
2.3 |
16 MAR 1963 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 3 | ![]() |
14.9 |
27 OCT 1962 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.7 |
30 APR 1962 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
7.1 |
14 APR 1962 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
2.5 |
18 FEB 1961 | EFL | ![]() |
4 - 1 | ![]() |
8.2 |
01 OCT 1960 | EFL | ![]() |
6 - 0 | ![]() |
14.5 |
30 APR 1960 | EFL | ![]() |
6 - 1 | ![]() |
13.6 |
12 DEC 1959 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 3 | ![]() |
11.9 |
28 DEC 1957 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
1.8 |
31 AUG 1957 | EFL | ![]() |
3 - 1 | ![]() |
6.3 |
28 APR 1952 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
11.0 |
10 NOV 1951 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 2 | ![]() |
0.9 |
17 FEB 1951 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.3 |
30 SEP 1950 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
8.4 |
08 APR 1950 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 1 | ![]() |
11.5 |
19 NOV 1949 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
2.7 |
15 SEP 1948 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 2 | ![]() |
18.8 |
06 SEP 1948 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
10.6 |
14 FEB 1948 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
7.9 |
27 SEP 1947 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 0 | ![]() |
7.9 |
01 FEB 1947 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 1 | ![]() |
7.9 |
28 SEP 1946 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
2.5 |
04 FEB 1939 | EFL | ![]() |
1 - 1 | ![]() |
5.8 |
01 OCT 1938 | EFL | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
15.9 |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Swindon Town (3493) and Port Vale (3561).
Date | Comp. | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 DEC 1922 | EFL | ![]() |
0 - 0 | ![]() |
4.8 |
27 SEP 1902 | STH | ![]() |
2 - 0 | ![]() |
7.0 |